ADI$393.64
Analog Devices, Inc.
Moat Score
66/100
Analog Devices has a durable but not impenetrable competitive position built on deep analog expertise, sticky design wins, and strong brand credibility in high-performance applications. Its products are embedded in industrial, automotive, communications, and healthcare systems where reliability, precision, and long lifecycle support matter more than price alone. Switching costs are meaningful because redesigning and requalifying analog components is expensive and time-consuming. That said, ADI lacks true platform-scale network effects and operates in a competitive oligopoly rather than a monopoly. The result is a solid narrow moat: resilient, profitable, and difficult to dislodge, but not broad enough to warrant a wide-moat label.
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Financial Score
70/100
Analog Devices’ standout strength is its durable cash generation, with revenue and earnings recovering after FY2024’s cyclical dip and TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both above the latest fiscal year. Gross, operating, and EBITDA margins remain healthy, and forward growth expectations point to accelerating EPS leverage as demand normalizes. That said, the balance sheet is the main counterweight: liquidity is adequate, but the company carries meaningful net debt and a goodwill- and intangible-heavy asset base, leaving tangible book value negative and hard-asset coverage limited. Efficiency and returns have improved recently, though inventory turnover and profitability still lag prior peaks. Overall, ADI presents a solid, high-quality semiconductor profile with strong cash conversion and improving growth, tempered by moderate leverage and cyclical volatility, consistent with its stronger income, cash flow, and outlook ratings versus a more average balance sheet and ratios profile.
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The path of least resistance is mildly lower-to-sideways in the very near term, with $389.64 and $387.10 as the first support checks and $397.86 to $400.40 as the initial recovery zone. A sustained move back above $401.91 would improve the setup and open a retest of $413.05, while failure to hold $382.99 would raise the risk of a deeper drift toward $372.73.
ADI’s technical profile is mixed in the near term but still constructive on a longer horizon. Short-term momentum has weakened, with price below the 20-day average, MACD bearish, and volume contracting, which argues for caution and a choppy trading range. Medium term, the stock is not showing trend acceleration yet, as it trades below the 50-day average and the broader setup remains sideways, but it continues to hold above the 200-day average and within Golden Cross territory. That keeps the longer-term structure intact despite the pullback. The most relevant levels to watch are the daily pivot near $393.75 and the weekly resistance cluster around $395.02 to $401.91 on the upside, while $384.53 and $372.73 are the key longer-support references if weakness deepens.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.