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ADSK$240.99

Autodesk, Inc.

Last Updated
May 25, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

62/100

Executive Summary

Autodesk has a durable but not impregnable competitive position built around workflow lock-in in architecture, engineering, construction, and manufacturing. AutoCAD, Revit, Fusion, and Autodesk Construction Cloud are deeply embedded in customer processes, creating meaningful switching costs and strong brand trust among professionals. However, the company lacks strong cost advantages and its network effects are only modest because many users can multi-home across adjacent tools. The moat is therefore narrow rather than wide: persistent, profitable, and supported by high implementation friction, but still vulnerable to niche competitors, lower-cost point solutions, and changing software architectures over time.

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Last Updated
May 25, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

73/100

Executive Summary

Autodesk’s most notable strength is its high-quality, recurring software earnings, supported by exceptional gross margins near 91% and steadily improving operating margin, which helped revenue grow from $4.4 billion to $7.2 billion and free cash flow reach $2.4 billion in FY2026. Cash generation remains robust, while disciplined capex and moderate debt use support flexibility. That said, liquidity is a clear weakness, with current and quick ratios still below 1.0 and negative working capital reflecting substantial deferred revenue and a heavy goodwill/intangible base. Growth remains solid, but earnings momentum has moderated and tax volatility adds noise. Overall, Autodesk presents a profitable, cash-generative profile with a manageable but less resilient balance sheet, consistent with its mid-to-strong ratings.

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Frequently asked questions about Autodesk, Inc.

Does Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) 62/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Autodesk has a durable but not impregnable competitive position built around workflow lock-in in architecture, engineering, construction, and manufacturing.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Autodesk, Inc.'s moat score?
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) has a moat score of 62/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is ADSK stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating ADSK's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Autodesk, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Autodesk, Inc.'s (ADSK) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.