AJG$203.61
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Moat Score
66/100
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has a real but not impregnable competitive advantage built on scale, relationships, and a steadily deepening data and service platform. Its brokerage franchise benefits from extensive carrier access, a broad middle-market footprint, and an acquisition model that adds local expertise while expanding the client base. The company’s best defenses come from switching frictions, brand trust, and efficient scale in a concentrated brokerage industry, not from a pure network effect. Its moat is strengthening as Gallagher integrates acquired businesses and extracts more cross-selling and analytics value from its platform. However, the industry remains competitive, and large rivals can match many service attributes with enough time and capital. That keeps the moat solidly narrow rather than wide.
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Financial Score
66/100
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.’s strongest feature is its durable top-line growth, with revenue expanding steadily and forward forecasts still supportive, while analyst expectations point to continued earnings recovery. However, that strength is tempered by weakening profitability momentum: operating margins have compressed, ROE and ROA have trended lower, and rising interest expense plus dilution are pressuring earnings quality. The balance sheet remains solvent and leverage is manageable, but liquidity is only adequate and heavy goodwill leaves tangible equity deeply negative. Cash flow is positive and free cash flow remains solid, though acquisitions dominate capital deployment and add volatility. Overall, AJG presents a stable but increasingly acquisition-dependent financial profile, consistent with its mid-to-high rating set.
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Frequently asked questions about Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
- Does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) have an economic moat?
- Yes, though a limited one. Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. earns a Narrow Moat rating with a moat score of 66/100, indicating competitive advantages expected to persist for roughly 10–20 years. Arthur J.
- What is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s moat score?
- Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) has a moat score of 66/100 with a Narrow Moat rating and a positive moat trend. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. Its strongest pillar is intangible assets (7/10).
- Is AJG stock overvalued or undervalued?
- As of MoatScan's latest valuation, AJG appears undervalued. The AI-estimated fair value is $487.45 versus a market price of $203.61 at the time of analysis, implying roughly 139% upside to fair value. The estimate is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and updates with each new financial analysis.
- What is Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan estimates Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s (AJG) fair value at $487.45 per share, derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. See the Financial Analysis tab for the full assumptions behind the estimate.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.