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AMZN$271.58

Amazon.com Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 14, 202614 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

82/100

Executive Summary

Amazon has one of the broadest and most durable competitive positions in global commerce and cloud infrastructure. Its moat is not based on a single advantage but on a reinforcing system: Prime membership drives customer loyalty, Marketplace expands selection, logistics lowers delivery friction, AWS funds innovation, and advertising monetizes traffic. The retail business remains highly competitive and capital-intensive, and regulatory scrutiny is a real overhang, but Amazon’s scale, data, and execution depth make displacement unlikely in the foreseeable future. AWS, in particular, provides an enterprise-grade switching barrier and a strong profit engine, while the retail and fulfillment network create meaningful operational advantages. The moat is best described as wide and still strengthening, though not immune to margin pressure or antitrust challenges.

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Last Updated
Aug 1, 202627 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

80/100

Executive Summary

Amazon’s standout financial strength is its rapidly improving earnings engine, with revenue still compounding at scale and operating margins expanding from near breakeven to double digits, reflecting much stronger operating leverage. The balance sheet is also robust: liquidity is ample, working capital is now solidly positive, and equity has risen materially while leverage has declined, even as debt and lease obligations remain meaningful. Cash flow tells a more nuanced story, as operating cash generation has surged, but heavy reinvestment and working-capital drag have kept free cash flow under pressure, including a slight TTM deficit. Efficiency has softened, with asset turnover easing, though profitability and returns remain well above prior lows. Overall, Amazon presents a high-quality, improving financial profile, tempered by capital intensity and some normalization in growth, consistent with its strong ratings across income, balance sheet, and growth.

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Last Updated
Aug 16, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$262.65Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance remains modestly higher, with the most likely next move a continued grind toward $264.83 and then $267.02 if near-term momentum persists. The key downside risk is a loss of $262.33 and especially $261, which would expose the $260.24 to $258.05 area and suggest a deeper consolidation toward the monthly pivot near $256.99.

Technical Overview

AMZN’s technical profile is broadly constructive across all three horizons, with the short-term picture supported by price above the 20-day average and positive MACD, and the intermediate and long-term trends reinforced by sustained trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Momentum is strong but not euphoric: RSI is elevated without being extreme, and volume is contracting, which argues for a healthy trend rather than a runaway breakout. The main divergence is that the stock is extended enough to invite pauses, even as the broader trend remains up. Near-term price action should center on the tight cluster around the daily pivot and nearby resistance, while the more important structural markers sit at the weekly pivot zone and the upper monthly band near the 52-week high area.

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Frequently asked questions about Amazon.com Inc.

Does Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) 82/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Amazon has one of the broadest and most durable competitive positions in global commerce and cloud infrastructure.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Amazon.com Inc.'s moat score?
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has a moat score of 82/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is AMZN stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating AMZN's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Amazon.com Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Amazon.com Inc.'s (AMZN) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.