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AOS$58.80

A.O. Smith Corporation

Last Updated
Sep 1, 2026about 1 month ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

56/100

Executive Summary

A.O. Smith has a real but bounded moat built on brand trust, replacement demand, and scale in water heating. In North America, the company is a leading player in a mature market where buyers care about reliability, installation familiarity, and quick replacement, which supports recurring demand and disciplined pricing. Its strongest protection comes from its brands, channel relationships, and efficient manufacturing footprint. However, the business lacks true network effects, and switching costs are only moderate because customers revisit the category only every several years. Competition remains meaningful in China, India, and water treatment, keeping the franchise from becoming dominant everywhere. Overall, A.O. Smith looks like a classic Narrow Moat business: durable, profitable, and defensible, but not structurally insulated from capable rivals.

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Last Updated
Sep 1, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

69/100

Executive Summary

A.O. Smith’s most notable strength is its durable cash generation, which remains the backbone of an otherwise mature but resilient profile. Revenue has risen only gradually from $3.54B in FY2021 to $3.83B in FY2025, with TTM at $3.81B, while net income recovered to $546M in FY2025 before easing to $500M TTM, underscoring steady but unspectacular earnings momentum. Margins remain healthy, and operating cash flow of $692M TTM supported $639M of free cash flow despite working-capital volatility. That said, the balance sheet is less comfortable: cash has fallen to $174.5M and net debt stands at $495.9M, alongside a much thinner tangible equity base. Liquidity and leverage are still manageable, but growth is modest and returns have softened somewhat. Overall, AOS presents a solid, cash-rich industrial profile with moderate balance-sheet and growth tension, consistent with its mid-to-good ratings.

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Frequently asked questions about A.O. Smith Corporation

Does A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) 56/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. A.O.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is A.O. Smith Corporation's moat score?
A.O. Smith Corporation (AOS) has a moat score of 56/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does AOS's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates AOS's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is A.O. Smith Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives A.O. Smith Corporation's (AOS) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.