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APH$158.25

Amphenol Corporation

Last Updated
Aug 25, 20263 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

65/100

Executive Summary

Amphenol is a high-quality interconnect franchise with durable but not overwhelming competitive advantages. Its products are deeply embedded in data centers, aerospace, defense, automotive, industrial, and communications systems, where qualification cycles and engineering integration create meaningful stickiness. The company also benefits from a broad product portfolio, global manufacturing scale, and a long record of disciplined acquisitions that expand its content at the system level. However, this is not a network-driven platform, and customers can still multi-source many components over time. The result is a business that can sustain attractive returns and consistent growth, but not one with the kind of structural lock-in that would justify a Wide Moat. The moat is strengthening modestly as AI infrastructure and high-speed connectivity increase product complexity and switching friction.

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Last Updated
Aug 25, 20263 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

77/100

Executive Summary

Amphenol’s most notable strength is its combination of rapid top-line acceleration and exceptional profitability: revenue surged from a flat 2022–2023 base to $23.1B in FY2025, while gross and operating margins expanded meaningfully, driving strong earnings growth and above-peer returns. Cash generation is equally solid, with operating cash flow and free cash flow rising steadily and comfortably funding capital spending, dividends, and buybacks. The main tension is on the balance sheet, where leverage increased sharply in FY2025 as debt climbed to support a much larger asset base, even though liquidity and equity remain strong. Efficiency is also mixed, with asset turnover drifting lower despite scale gains. Overall, APH presents a high-quality, growth-oriented financial profile, with strengths in income statement performance, cash flow, and forward growth offset by a manageable but notable rise in leverage, consistent with its strong but not flawless ratings.

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Last Updated
Aug 14, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$166.51Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance remains higher, with the most likely near-term move a retest of $167.55 and then $169.15 if buyers sustain control. A clean hold above $165.58 keeps the bullish setup intact, while a break below $163.98 would increase the odds of a deeper pullback toward $162.65 or, on a larger unwind, the weekly support zone near $158.95.

Technical Overview

APH’s technical picture is broadly bullish across all horizons, led by a price trend that sits above the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages and remains in Golden Cross territory. Short-term momentum is supportive, with MACD positive and RSI elevated but not yet at an exhaustion level, although contracting volume tempers conviction and argues for some caution around immediate upside follow-through. The medium- and long-term structures are equally constructive, with the stock holding in the upper third of its 52-week range and trading close to prior highs. The most important levels to watch are $167.55 and $169.15 on the upside for near-term continuation, while $165.58 and $163.98 are the first support checks; beyond that, $174.97 and the $178.52–$179.47 area define the broader resistance zone.

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Frequently asked questions about Amphenol Corporation

Does Amphenol Corporation (APH) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Amphenol Corporation (APH) 65/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Amphenol is a high-quality interconnect franchise with durable but not overwhelming competitive advantages.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Amphenol Corporation's moat score?
Amphenol Corporation (APH) has a moat score of 65/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is APH stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating APH's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Amphenol Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Amphenol Corporation's (APH) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.