ASML$1,591.48
ASML Holding N.V.
Moat Score
83/100
ASML owns one of the strongest franchises in global technology manufacturing. Its EUV systems are effectively indispensable for leading-edge chip production, and the move to High-NA EUV should extend that relevance into the next generation of nodes. The moat rests on a rare combination of physics, systems integration, supplier coordination, and long qualification cycles that make displacement extraordinarily difficult. Customers such as TSMC, Samsung, and Intel are deeply embedded in ASML’s roadmap, which reinforces switching costs and service dependence. Weaknesses exist: export controls limit China exposure, the business is highly concentrated in a small number of large customers, and geopolitical friction can distort shipments. Even so, these issues constrain the addressable market more than they erode the underlying competitive position, which remains durable and, if anything, still improving.
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Financial Score
83/100
ASML’s standout strength is its exceptional profitability and cash generation, supported by durable semiconductor equipment demand and disciplined execution. Revenue rose from EUR 18.61B in FY2021 to EUR 32.67B in FY2025, with TTM at EUR 35.33B, while net income expanded to EUR 10.64B and margins remained impressive, with gross margin near 51%-53% and operating margin around 31%-35%. The balance sheet is also solid, with current assets of EUR 29.55B above current liabilities of EUR 22.16B, modest total debt of EUR 1.98B, and negative net debt, though liquidity has softened as the current ratio fell to 1.33 and inventory remains elevated. Cash flow is robust, with FY2025 operating cash flow of EUR 12.66B and free cash flow of EUR 11.09B despite working-capital volatility. Overall, ASML combines high returns, manageable leverage, and strong growth prospects, consistent with its 8.5/10 ratings.
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ASML’s technical profile is mixed in the near term but still broadly constructive over the longer horizon. Short-term price action has softened, with the stock below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, a bearish MACD, and contracting volume, which points to consolidation rather than strong upside momentum. Medium-term signals are similarly cautious because the share price remains under the 50-day MA even though it stays above the 200-day MA and in Golden Cross territory. Structurally, the long-term backdrop is healthier, supported by the 200-day relationship and the stock’s upper-third placement within the 52-week range. The key levels to watch are $1631.3/$1620.55 on support and $1682.82/$1674.58 on resistance, with the $1700–$1716 monthly zone representing the main boundary for a more durable trend shift.
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Frequently asked questions about ASML Holding N.V.
- Does ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) have an economic moat?
- MoatScan AI rates ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) 83/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. ASML owns one of the strongest franchises in global technology manufacturing.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
- What is ASML Holding N.V.'s moat score?
- ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) has a moat score of 83/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
- How does ASML's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
- MoatScan AI estimates ASML's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
- What is ASML Holding N.V.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan AI derives ASML Holding N.V.'s (ASML) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.