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AWK$136.66

American Water Works Company, Inc.

Last Updated
May 30, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

66/100

Executive Summary

American Water Works has a durable but geographically constrained moat built on regulated local monopolies, dense physical infrastructure, and high customer inertia. The company’s asset base, long-lived permits, and utility commission oversight make direct competition uneconomic in most service territories, while its acquisition pipeline expands scale and reinforces market presence. However, the business is still a regulated utility: returns are capped, pricing power is limited, and growth depends on approved capex and opportunistic acquisitions rather than self-reinforcing platform economics. That combination supports a narrow moat rather than a wide one. The moat trend is positive because management is expanding scale, investing heavily in aging systems, and continuing to consolidate fragmented water systems.

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Last Updated
Aug 21, 20267 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

64/100

Executive Summary

American Water Works’ standout strength is its durable, regulated utility earnings base, with revenue and net income compounding steadily while operating margins improved into the mid-30% range. That said, growth is now normalizing, with TTM revenue and earnings expansion easing materially, and rising interest expense tempering some of the benefit. The balance sheet remains serviceable but levered: assets and regulated PP&E continue to expand, yet debt has climbed and working capital is persistently negative, a common utility feature but still a liquidity consideration. Cash flow tells the clearest tension, as operating cash generation is rising but remains insufficient to cover very heavy capital spending, leaving free cash flow negative throughout the period. Overall, AWK presents a stable, cash-intensive, capital-heavy profile with solid profitability and moderate leverage, but constrained liquidity and structurally weak free cash flow, consistent with the mid-to-high single-digit ratings across the business.

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Frequently asked questions about American Water Works Company, Inc.

Does American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) 66/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. American Water Works has a durable but geographically constrained moat built on regulated local monopolies, dense physical infrastructure, and high customer inertia.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is American Water Works Company, Inc.'s moat score?
American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) has a moat score of 66/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is AWK stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating AWK's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is American Water Works Company, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives American Water Works Company, Inc.'s (AWK) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.