Skip to main content

AZO$3,419.36

AutoZone, Inc.

Last Updated
May 21, 20264 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Sign in to view
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

60/100

Executive Summary

AutoZone has a real but not impenetrable competitive advantage built on scale, store density, private labels, and an increasingly effective commercial and hub-and-spoke distribution model. Its brand is well known, and its local availability matters in a category where customers often need parts immediately. Still, the aftermarket auto-parts industry remains highly competitive, with capable rivals such as O’Reilly and Advance Auto Parts limiting pricing power and keeping switching costs moderate. AutoZone’s moat is therefore durable but narrower than a classic wide-moat business. The trend is positive as mega hubs, delivery, and data-enabled service deepen its operational edge and strengthen its position with professional customers.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
May 21, 20264 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

61/100

Executive Summary

AutoZone’s standout strength is its durable profitability and cash generation: gross margins have held near 52%-53%, ROIC remains strong, and operating cash flow has stayed around $3.0 billion despite softer recent earnings. That said, the picture is mixed, as revenue growth slowed materially in FY2025, operating margins have compressed, interest expense is rising, and free cash flow has declined with heavier capex. The balance sheet is the clearest weakness, with negative working capital, modest cash, $12.2 billion of debt, and negative equity, though supplier financing supports operations. Forecasts point to renewed growth and EPS recovery, leaving AutoZone financially solid but highly leveraged and increasingly dependent on execution.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Sign In to Run AI-Powered Technical Analysis

Create a free account to run a fresh technical analysis across three timeframes — short, medium, and long term.

Frequently asked questions about AutoZone, Inc.

Does AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) 60/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. AutoZone has a real but not impenetrable competitive advantage built on scale, store density, private labels, and an increasingly effective commercial and hub-and-spoke distribution model.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is AutoZone, Inc.'s moat score?
AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has a moat score of 60/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is AZO stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating AZO's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is AutoZone, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives AutoZone, Inc.'s (AZO) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.