AZO$3,419.36
AutoZone, Inc.
Moat Score
60/100
AutoZone has a real but not impenetrable competitive advantage built on scale, store density, private labels, and an increasingly effective commercial and hub-and-spoke distribution model. Its brand is well known, and its local availability matters in a category where customers often need parts immediately. Still, the aftermarket auto-parts industry remains highly competitive, with capable rivals such as O’Reilly and Advance Auto Parts limiting pricing power and keeping switching costs moderate. AutoZone’s moat is therefore durable but narrower than a classic wide-moat business. The trend is positive as mega hubs, delivery, and data-enabled service deepen its operational edge and strengthen its position with professional customers.
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Financial Score
61/100
AutoZone’s standout strength is its durable profitability and cash generation: gross margins have held near 52%-53%, ROIC remains strong, and operating cash flow has stayed around $3.0 billion despite softer recent earnings. That said, the picture is mixed, as revenue growth slowed materially in FY2025, operating margins have compressed, interest expense is rising, and free cash flow has declined with heavier capex. The balance sheet is the clearest weakness, with negative working capital, modest cash, $12.2 billion of debt, and negative equity, though supplier financing supports operations. Forecasts point to renewed growth and EPS recovery, leaving AutoZone financially solid but highly leveraged and increasingly dependent on execution.
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Frequently asked questions about AutoZone, Inc.
- Does AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) have an economic moat?
- Yes, though a limited one. AutoZone, Inc. earns a Narrow Moat rating with a moat score of 60/100, indicating competitive advantages expected to persist for roughly 10–20 years. AutoZone has a real but not impenetrable competitive advantage built on scale, store density, private labels, and an increasingly effective commercial and hub-and-spoke distribution model.
- What is AutoZone, Inc.'s moat score?
- AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) has a moat score of 60/100 with a Narrow Moat rating and a positive moat trend. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. Its strongest pillar is cost advantages (7.5/10).
- Is AZO stock overvalued or undervalued?
- As of MoatScan's latest valuation, AZO appears undervalued. The AI-estimated fair value is $5,275.00 versus a market price of $3,419.36 at the time of analysis, implying roughly 54% upside to fair value. The estimate is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and updates with each new financial analysis.
- What is AutoZone, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan estimates AutoZone, Inc.'s (AZO) fair value at $5,275.00 per share, derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. See the Financial Analysis tab for the full assumptions behind the estimate.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.