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BKNG$182.64

Booking Holdings Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 3, 202625 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

66/100

Executive Summary

Booking Holdings has built one of the strongest digital franchises in travel, anchored by a two-sided marketplace that connects a vast global supply of hotels, alternative accommodations, and other travel services with millions of travelers. Its scale, brand recognition, and data-rich platform support superior search, personalization, conversion, and supplier reach, while its asset-light model converts that ecosystem into durable cash generation. The moat is real but not impregnable: travelers can multi-home easily, hotel suppliers retain bargaining power, and competition from Expedia, Airbnb, Trip.com, and direct booking channels keeps pricing and marketing pressure elevated. Even so, the company’s widening ecosystem, strong direct traffic, and operating leverage are improving its strategic position. This is best characterized as a Narrow Moat with a positive trend, rather than a Wide Moat, because consumer-side switching remains relatively easy.

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Last Updated
Jul 2, 2026about 2 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

72/100

Executive Summary

Booking Holdings’ defining strength is its exceptional cash generation and profitability: revenue has continued to compound, operating margins remain elite, and free cash flow is consistently near $9 billion with only modest capex. That resilience is reinforced by improving asset efficiency and manageable leverage relative to EBITDA, while forward growth and analyst expectations still point to steady mid- to high-single-digit expansion. However, this strength is offset by a materially weaker balance sheet, where liabilities have outpaced assets, equity has turned deeply negative, and liquidity has narrowed to only a modest cushion. Income statement momentum has also normalized, with net income and non-operating items showing some volatility. Overall, BKNG presents a high-quality earnings and cash flow profile but a structurally fragile capital base, making its financial health strong operationally yet only moderate on balance, consistent with the mixed ratings.

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Last Updated
Jul 8, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$174.48Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance over the next few sessions is modestly higher, with a retest of $178.13 and then $179.66 as the most likely upside sequence if momentum persists. The key downside risk is a loss of $174.09 and especially $172.79, which would expose $170.65 and keep the medium-term trend under pressure.

Technical Overview

BKNG’s technical profile is mixed in the short run but still challenged on the broader horizon. Near-term momentum has improved, with MACD positive and price holding close to the 20-day average, yet the move is not backed by strong volume. Medium and long-term structure remains defensive because the stock is below the 200-day average and still in Death Cross territory, with the 52-week range position stuck in the lower third. The most important levels to watch are the $174.09–$176.53 band on the upside/downside balance and the $172.79 weekly support, which should determine whether this rebound can broaden into a more durable recovery. If BKNG fails to reclaim the upper pivot cluster, the broader range likely continues to cap progress.

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Frequently asked questions about Booking Holdings Inc.

Does Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) 66/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Booking Holdings has built one of the strongest digital franchises in travel, anchored by a two-sided marketplace that connects a vast global supply of hotels, alternative accommodations, and other travel services with…Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Booking Holdings Inc.'s moat score?
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) has a moat score of 66/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is BKNG stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating BKNG's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Booking Holdings Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Booking Holdings Inc.'s (BKNG) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.