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CME$298.06

CME Group Inc.

Last Updated
Jul 9, 20265 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Strong
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

83/100

Executive Summary

CME Group has one of the strongest moats in global financial market infrastructure. Its advantage rests on a self-reinforcing liquidity franchise: the leading futures and options contracts attract hedgers, speculators, and market makers, which in turn deepens liquidity and makes those contracts even harder to displace. The clearinghouse model adds another layer of durability by embedding CME into customers’ risk, margin, and settlement workflows. Intangible assets such as the CME/CBOT/NYMEX/COMEX brands and benchmark contract status also matter, while scale produces high operating leverage. The moat is not impenetrable, however; large venues like ICE and Cboe remain credible rivals, and some products are portable. Even so, CME’s entrenched positions in rates, equity index, and commodities derivatives support a wide, long-lived competitive advantage.

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Last Updated
May 20, 2026about 2 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
Hold16 analysts
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

76/100

Executive Summary

CME Group’s standout strength is its highly profitable, fee-driven model, which has driven steady revenue growth, operating margin expansion to nearly 65%, and durable free cash flow generation. Cash conversion remains excellent, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising meaningfully while capital spending stays modest, supporting substantial dividends and buybacks. The balance sheet is stable but not especially flexible: leverage is low, yet liabilities are very large, tangible equity is negative, and working-capital coverage is only modest. Profitability ratios are strong, but asset turnover is structurally low and forward growth is expected to moderate. Overall, CME presents a high-quality, resilient financial profile, tempered by valuation, payout, and balance-sheet structure constraints.

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.