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DIS$98.57

The Walt Disney Company

Last Updated
Aug 3, 202625 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

66/100

Executive Summary

Disney retains a meaningful but not impregnable moat built on globally recognized characters, premium storytelling, and highly valuable theme-park and consumer-product ecosystems. Its library of Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, and classic Disney IP supports recurring monetization across films, streaming, licensing, merchandise, and attractions, while the parks business benefits from scale and brand power that are difficult to match. However, the company operates in intensely competitive media markets where content hits are unpredictable, streaming rivals are well-funded, and linear television remains a secular headwind. Disney’s advantage is broad and durable, but not immune to imitation or distribution disruption. Overall, the moat is real, supported by unique assets and experiential economics, yet best characterized as narrow rather than wide because several advantages depend on continued execution and creative relevance.

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Last Updated
Aug 3, 202625 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

71/100

Executive Summary

Disney’s most notable financial strength is its improving profitability and cash generation: revenue has grown steadily, but margins have expanded faster, lifting operating performance into the mid-teens while operating cash flow rose strongly and free cash flow improved materially. That said, the earnings profile is not perfectly clean, with volatile below-the-line items and a FY25 tax benefit inflating net income. The balance sheet is more mixed: equity has increased and debt has trended down, yet liquidity remains a clear weak point, with negative working capital and a sharp decline in cash. Ratio trends largely support the operating story, showing stronger margins, better returns, and manageable leverage despite softer short-term coverage. Growth forecasts point to continued, moderate expansion rather than a surge, and analyst sentiment is constructive. Overall, Disney appears financially solid but not without liquidity pressure, consistent with its 7–7.5/10 ratings.

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Last Updated
Jun 29, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$99.04Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance remains lower in the near term, with a likely drift toward the $98.61 to $97.87 support zone if current momentum persists. A sustained move back above $100.72 would be the first sign of repair, but the more important upside hurdle sits at $102.91, while a break below $97.67 would expose the next layer of support.

Technical Overview

DIS’s technical profile is mixed near term but decisively weak on the bigger picture. Short-term momentum is soft, with price below the 20-day average and MACD still bearish, while volume contraction limits conviction on any rebound attempt. Medium- and long-term structures are more concerning, as the stock remains below the 50-day and 200-day averages and sits in death cross territory, consistent with a broader downtrend. The most important levels to watch are $98.61 and $97.87 on the downside, where support has to hold to avoid renewed pressure, and $99.78 to $102.91 on the upside, where resistance will likely cap recovery attempts unless trend indicators improve.

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Frequently asked questions about The Walt Disney Company

Does The Walt Disney Company (DIS) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates The Walt Disney Company (DIS) 66/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Disney retains a meaningful but not impregnable moat built on globally recognized characters, premium storytelling, and highly valuable theme-park and consumer-product ecosystems.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is The Walt Disney Company's moat score?
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) has a moat score of 66/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is DIS stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating DIS's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is The Walt Disney Company's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives The Walt Disney Company's (DIS) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.