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FICO$1,278.47

Fair Isaac Corporation

Last Updated
Jun 25, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

74/100

Executive Summary

Fair Isaac has one of the most durable franchises in financial services because its FICO score is embedded in U.S. consumer lending workflows, especially mortgages. The company benefits from deep lender habit, trusted brand recognition, and an entrenched position in underwriting and pricing models that makes replacement operationally costly. However, the moat is not unassailable: antitrust scrutiny, ongoing litigation, and the industry’s push toward alternative scoring models create real pressure on pricing power and long-term dependence on a single standard. The result is a wide but somewhat concentrated moat, with strength coming less from classic network effects and more from institutional lock-in, brand equity, and the economics of scale around a de facto industry standard. The moat remains durable, but the trend is negative as regulatory and competitive threats build.

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Last Updated
May 28, 20264 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

69/100

Executive Summary

Fair Isaac’s standout strength is its exceptional profitability and cash generation: revenue has compounded steadily, operating margin has expanded to the mid-40s, and free cash flow is approaching $901 million TTM with very strong conversion. That operating momentum is reinforced by rising ROA, ROIC and asset turnover, while analyst forecasts still point to robust EPS growth and moderating forward valuation. However, this quality profile is offset by a much weaker balance sheet, with deeply negative equity, elevated liabilities and recurring reliance on debt maturities and buybacks. Liquidity has improved recently, but leverage remains persistent. Overall, FICO presents a high-quality, high-growth operating franchise constrained by structural leverage, consistent with an overall mixed-to-strong financial profile.

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Frequently asked questions about Fair Isaac Corporation

Does Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) 74/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Fair Isaac has one of the most durable franchises in financial services because its FICO score is embedded in U.S.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Fair Isaac Corporation's moat score?
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has a moat score of 74/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is FICO stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating FICO's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Fair Isaac Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Fair Isaac Corporation's (FICO) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.