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FICO$1,278.47

Fair Isaac Corporation

Last Updated
May 24, 202629 days ago
Moat & Trend
Wide Moat Stable
Management
Strong
AI Impact
0 Neutral
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

81/100

Executive Summary

Fair Isaac owns one of the most entrenched data standards in U.S. lending. The FICO Score is embedded in underwriting, pricing, and monitoring workflows, giving the company unusually strong switching costs, brand trust, and pricing power. Its moat is reinforced by proprietary analytics, low marginal delivery costs, and a market structure that supports only a few credible large-scale rivals. The main weakness is that lenders and credit bureaus can develop alternative scores, and recent pricing actions have drawn more competitive attention and regulatory scrutiny. Overall the moat remains durable and broad, but not unassailable, with the trend best described as stable.

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Last Updated
May 28, 202625 days ago
Target Price
$1,532.00+19.8% Upside
Analyst Consensus
Buy21 analysts
FAIR VALUE
$942.33-26.3% Overvalued
Financial Strength

Financial Score

69/100

Executive Summary

Fair Isaac’s standout strength is its exceptional profitability and cash generation: revenue has compounded steadily, operating margin has expanded to the mid-40s, and free cash flow is approaching $901 million TTM with very strong conversion. That operating momentum is reinforced by rising ROA, ROIC and asset turnover, while analyst forecasts still point to robust EPS growth and moderating forward valuation. However, this quality profile is offset by a much weaker balance sheet, with deeply negative equity, elevated liabilities and recurring reliance on debt maturities and buybacks. Liquidity has improved recently, but leverage remains persistent. Overall, FICO presents a high-quality, high-growth operating franchise constrained by structural leverage, consistent with an overall mixed-to-strong financial profile.

Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Ratios
Growth & Forecast
Fair Value Estimation

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.