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HPQ$32.12

HP Inc.

Last Updated
Oct 3, 202619 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

35/100

Executive Summary

HP Inc. is a scaled hardware franchise with real but limited structural advantages. Its large installed base in PCs and printers supports recurring supplies revenue, and the HP brand remains widely recognized in consumer and commercial channels. However, the company competes in mature, highly price-sensitive markets where product differentiation is narrow and rivals can match features quickly. HP’s strongest economics come from printer consumables and from friction in business refresh cycles, not from a broad, self-reinforcing moat. Recent AI-PC branding, workflow software, and acquisition activity may modestly improve retention, but they do not yet alter the competitive structure. Overall, HP looks like a cash-generative incumbent with pockets of stickiness, not a business with durable, superior returns across cycles.

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Last Updated
Oct 3, 202619 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

54/100

Executive Summary

HP Inc.’s most notable strength is its still-healthy cash generation, with free cash flow of $2.80B in FY2025 and $3.88B TTM, supported by restrained capital spending and a 13.4% FCF yield. However, that resilience contrasts with softer earnings quality: revenue fell from $63.46B in FY2021 to $55.30B in FY2025, margins have compressed, and net income has declined to $2.53B, even as TTM revenue rebounded to $59.16B. The balance sheet remains the main constraint, with working capital at -$7.22B, a current ratio below 1.0, and slightly negative equity, despite improved net debt/EBITDA of 1.33. Growth expectations point to stabilization rather than acceleration, and consensus remains Hold. Overall, HPQ presents a serviceable but uneven profile, consistent with its midrange operating and cash-flow ratings and weaker balance sheet score.

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Frequently asked questions about HP Inc.

Does HP Inc. (HPQ) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates HP Inc. (HPQ) 35/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. HP Inc.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is HP Inc.'s moat score?
HP Inc. (HPQ) has a moat score of 35/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does HPQ's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates HPQ's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is HP Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives HP Inc.'s (HPQ) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.