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ICE$150.15

Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Last Updated
Oct 3, 20269 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

74/100

Executive Summary

Intercontinental Exchange has a durable but not unassailable competitive position built around regulated exchanges, clearing, data, and workflow software. Its best assets are the New York Stock Exchange, energy and financial futures platforms, and clearing houses, where liquidity, trust, and regulatory permissions reinforce one another. ICE also benefits from expanding data and index businesses that are embedded in market infrastructure rather than sold as generic software. The weaker part of the portfolio is mortgage technology, where competition is stronger and product cycles matter more. Even so, the company’s acquisition strategy has steadily deepened customer relationships and broadened the number of workflows that run through its ecosystem. Overall, ICE looks like a classic Narrow Moat: structurally advantaged, highly relevant, and difficult to replace, but not uniformly dominant across all segments.

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Last Updated
Oct 3, 20269 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

78/100

Executive Summary

ICE’s most notable strength is its durable cash-generation engine: operating cash flow rose from $3.12B in FY2021 to $5.51B in TTM, supporting $5.08B of free cash flow and steady capital returns. Revenue expanded from $7.15B to $9.93B, with TTM at $10.56B, while operating margins stayed resilient around 48% to 52% and net income reached $4.04B TTM, though reported earnings were periodically distorted by non-operating swings. The balance sheet is stable but asset-heavy, with $174.25B of assets, $29.65B of equity, and $20.53B of debt, offset by negative tangible book value at -$15.95B due to sizable intangibles. Profitability and efficiency have improved, with ROE at 14.09% current and net debt/EBITDA at 2.90. Overall, ICE presents a solid, improving profile, consistent with its mid-to-high 7/10 ratings and 8/10 growth outlook.

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Last Updated
Oct 2, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Technical Overview
$150.35Price at Analysis

The technical picture for ICE indicates a negative sentiment across all timeframes. In the short term, the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, with the RSI approaching oversold conditions and MACD showing negative momentum. The price is also below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the negative trend. Despite a recent Golden Cross, the medium-term outlook remains negative as the price is in a downtrend within its 52-week range. The long-term perspective also reflects a downtrend, with the price positioned below the 200-day moving average and in the middle third of its 52-week range. Key short-term support is at $150.18, while medium-term resistance is near $150.49. Long-term, the price is situated between significant support at $147.85 and resistance at $150.98.

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Frequently asked questions about Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) 74/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Intercontinental Exchange has a durable but not unassailable competitive position built around regulated exchanges, clearing, data, and workflow software.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s moat score?
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) has a moat score of 74/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does ICE's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates ICE's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s (ICE) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.