Skip to main content

ICE$162.99

Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Last Updated
Jun 8, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Sign in to view
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

79/100

Executive Summary

Intercontinental Exchange has a broad, durable moat built on regulated market infrastructure, clearing, and embedded workflow software. Its strongest advantages come from liquidity concentration in key contracts, high switching costs in post-trade and mortgage technology, and the regulatory and trust barriers that protect exchanges and clearing houses. The moat is not perfectly uniform: some data products are more contestable, and growth can be constrained by regulation or acquisition scrutiny. Even so, ICE’s mix of exchange, clearing, data, and mortgage platforms creates multiple reinforcing layers of defensibility, and recent portfolio expansion suggests the moat is still strengthening rather than eroding.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Aug 25, 20263 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

76/100

Executive Summary

ICE’s most notable strength is its consistently high-quality earnings engine: revenue has compounded steadily, operating margins remain strong, and net income and EPS continue to outpace topline growth, reflecting durable operating leverage across transaction, clearing, and data businesses. Cash generation is equally compelling, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising through FY2025 and on a TTM basis, supporting dividends, repurchases, and a stable capital return profile. The balance sheet is more leveraged than a pure industrial company but remains broadly sound for the model, with equity and retained earnings expanding steadily and debt trending manageable. There is some tension in the mix: liabilities are large and forecast revenue appears to moderate near term, yet profitability, liquidity, and returns remain resilient. Overall, ICE presents a solid, well-capitalized financial profile with strong cash flow and earnings quality, consistent with its upper-tier ratings.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Sign In to Run AI-Powered Technical Analysis

Create a free account to run a fresh technical analysis across three timeframes — short, medium, and long term.

Frequently asked questions about Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) 79/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Intercontinental Exchange has a broad, durable moat built on regulated market infrastructure, clearing, and embedded workflow software.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s moat score?
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) has a moat score of 79/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is ICE stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating ICE's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s (ICE) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
View all wide moat stocks

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.