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INTC$103.16

Intel Corporation

Last Updated
Jul 21, 2026about 1 month ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

52/100

Executive Summary

Intel still has a real competitive position, but its moat is far weaker than in its peak PC-era dominance. The company benefits from the x86 ecosystem, long-standing OEM relationships, a powerful brand, and enormous manufacturing scale, all of which create some durability in client PCs and parts of the server market. However, repeated process execution problems, share losses to AMD, the shift of Apple and other OEMs toward alternatives, and rising competition in AI and custom silicon have reduced pricing power and diminished the moat’s breadth. Intel’s foundry ambitions and U.S. policy support may help stabilize the business, but they do not yet restore a deep structural advantage. Overall, Intel looks like a narrow moat company with a weakening trajectory unless manufacturing and product execution improve materially.

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Last Updated
Jul 21, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

46/100

Executive Summary

Intel’s most notable strength is its still-solid balance sheet and liquidity, which provide time to execute through a difficult operating reset. Cash and short-term investments rose to $37.4 billion in FY2025, current assets comfortably exceed current liabilities, and leverage remains manageable, though debt is still meaningful and capital needs are heavy. Against that backdrop, the income statement is the clear weak spot: revenue has declined for four years, margins have compressed sharply, and earnings have swung from strong profitability to losses, leaving underlying earning power fragile. Cash flow trends reinforce that pressure, with free cash flow negative in four of the last five years despite some recent improvement. Efficiency and profitability ratios have also deteriorated, even as forecasts imply a cyclical recovery. Overall, Intel presents a mixed but improving profile: financially resilient, yet operationally challenged, consistent with its middling ratings.

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Last Updated
Jul 21, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$103.00Price at Analysis

The most probable next move is a modest rebound attempt from the $103 area toward the $103.89-$105.08 resistance band, but the near-term trend remains vulnerable while price trades below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. A failure to hold $102.41 would expose $101.22 and $100.18 as the next downside checkpoints, making that support cluster the key risk level to watch.

Technical Overview

INTC’s technical profile is split across horizons. Near term, the stock looks fragile: price is below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, MACD remains negative, and volume is contracting even though RSI is oversold. That combination often signals a market still searching for a durable floor rather than one already in a confirmed rebound. Over the medium term, the picture is more balanced because the stock remains well above the 200-day moving average and in Golden Cross territory, but the broader trend is still labeled sideways. Long term, the structure is constructive, supported by the strong position relative to the 200-day and the upper-third 52-week range. The key levels to watch are $103.15 and $102.41 in the short term, then $105.73 and $109.95 as the main upside checkpoints.

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Frequently asked questions about Intel Corporation

Does Intel Corporation (INTC) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Intel Corporation (INTC) 52/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Intel still has a real competitive position, but its moat is far weaker than in its peak PC-era dominance.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Intel Corporation's moat score?
Intel Corporation (INTC) has a moat score of 52/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is INTC stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating INTC's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Intel Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Intel Corporation's (INTC) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.