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JD$29.20

JD.com, Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 26, 20262 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

55/100

Executive Summary

JD.com has a real but bounded competitive advantage built around its self-operated retail model, logistics backbone, and reputation for fast, reliable fulfillment. That combination is especially valuable in electronics, appliances, and other categories where authenticity, service, and delivery precision matter. Its scale in warehouses, last-mile infrastructure, and customer service would still be meaningful many years from now. However, the business operates in a highly contested Chinese e-commerce market where consumers can multi-home and rivals can compete aggressively on selection, promotions, and traffic acquisition. JD’s international expansion and adjacent initiatives add optionality, but they also face execution and regulatory risk. Overall, JD.com looks like a solid Narrow Moat company: durable advantages, but not an all-encompassing structural lock on the market.

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Last Updated
Aug 25, 20263 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

63/100

Executive Summary

JD.com’s most notable strength is its balance sheet resilience, supported by substantial liquidity, positive working capital, and cash and short-term investments comfortably exceeding total debt. That financial flexibility is reinforced by strong efficiency metrics and a steady long-term revenue base that is forecast to reaccelerate moderately. However, the income statement has weakened materially: revenue growth has slowed to near flat TTM, operating margin fell sharply in FY2025 amid higher SG&A, and net income remains volatile due partly to non-operating swings. Cash generation also turned less reliable, with FY2025 operating cash flow and free cash flow falling well below prior levels before recovering somewhat TTM. While leverage has risen and inventory pressures bear watching, JD.com still appears fundamentally sound, with solid liquidity offsetting softer earnings quality and uneven cash flow. Overall, the profile is mixed but stable, consistent with mid-to-strong ratings rather than a uniformly high-quality result.

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Frequently asked questions about JD.com, Inc.

Does JD.com, Inc. (JD) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates JD.com, Inc. (JD) 55/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. JD.com has a real but bounded competitive advantage built around its self-operated retail model, logistics backbone, and reputation for fast, reliable fulfillment.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is JD.com, Inc.'s moat score?
JD.com, Inc. (JD) has a moat score of 55/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is JD stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating JD's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is JD.com, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives JD.com, Inc.'s (JD) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.