Skip to main content

MA$552.26

Mastercard Incorporated

Last Updated
Oct 4, 20268 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Sign in to view
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

84/100

Executive Summary

Mastercard has a classic wide moat built around one of the world’s most valuable payments networks. Its competitive strength comes from the combination of global acceptance, issuer relationships, two-sided network depth, and a brand that signals trust at the point of sale. The business also benefits from very high switching friction for banks and merchants, since replacing a major card network requires technical integration, certification, and ecosystem coordination. Mastercard is not immune to regulation or fee pressure, and it competes with Visa, local schemes, and alternative rails, but those threats have not broken the core model. The moat is best described as durable and mature: intact, enormous, and still supported by secular growth in digital payments rather than by any single product cycle.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Oct 4, 20268 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

81/100

Executive Summary

Mastercard’s standout strength is its exceptional earnings power, with revenue rising from $18.88B to $32.79B over FY2021–FY2025 and operating margin expanding to 59.17%, underscoring elite profitability and operating leverage. Cash generation is equally impressive, as operating cash flow increased to $17.65B and free cash flow to $17.16B, supporting substantial dividends and $12.02B of buybacks. Growth remains healthy, with the forecast implying continued expansion and EPS compounding ahead of revenue, while analyst sentiment stays constructive. The main offset is the balance sheet: liquidity is adequate, but debt has climbed to $24.64B, leverage is elevated on a debt-to-equity basis, and tangible equity remains negative due to large treasury stock. Overall, Mastercard presents a high-quality financial profile, with top-tier income statement and cash flow ratings tempered by a more average balance sheet.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Short Term
Sign in to view
Medium Term
Sign in to view
Technical Overview
$568.36Price at Analysis

MA’s technical profile is best described as a constructive long-term uptrend with a softer near-term momentum backdrop. The stock remains above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and sits in Golden Cross territory, which supports the medium- and long-term trend, but short-term indicators are less cooperative: price is still below the 20-day average, MACD is bearish, and volume is contracting. That divergence suggests the recent advance is intact but may need consolidation before extending further. The most important levels to watch are the daily and weekly pivot cluster around $565.21–$573.55 on the downside and $578.08–$590.02 on the upside, with the monthly $599.45 area marking the next major structural resistance.

Sign in to see the full analysis

See the full short, medium & long-term indicator breakdowns and support/resistance levels — free for registered users.

Frequently asked questions about Mastercard Incorporated

Does Mastercard Incorporated (MA) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Mastercard Incorporated (MA) 84/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Mastercard has a classic wide moat built around one of the world’s most valuable payments networks.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Mastercard Incorporated's moat score?
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) has a moat score of 84/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does MA's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates MA's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Mastercard Incorporated's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Mastercard Incorporated's (MA) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
View all wide moat stocks

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.