Skip to main content

MSFT$382.11

Microsoft Corp

Last Updated
Jun 26, 202618 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Strong
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

77/100

Executive Summary

Microsoft has one of the strongest moats in global software, anchored by entrenched enterprise workflows, a massive installed base, and an increasingly integrated cloud-and-AI ecosystem. Windows, Microsoft 365, Azure, GitHub, LinkedIn, and Teams reinforce one another, creating durable distribution and high customer inertia. The company’s brand, developer mindshare, and hyperscale infrastructure add further protection, while recurring subscription revenue improves visibility and retention. Weaknesses exist: regulatory scrutiny, intensifying AI capex, and competition in cloud and collaboration tools temper the moat’s cleanliness. Even so, the combination of switching costs, ecosystem depth, and scale advantages supports a wide moat that appears to be strengthening as AI deepens Microsoft’s platform relevance.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Jul 9, 20265 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy56 analysts
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

84/100

Executive Summary

Microsoft’s most notable financial strength is its exceptional combination of scale, profitability, and cash generation. Revenue grew from $168.1 billion to $281.7 billion, with TTM sales of $318.3 billion, while net income reached $125.2 billion and operating margin expanded to 46.8%, underscoring powerful operating leverage and best-in-class economics. The balance sheet remains solid, with $78.3 billion in cash and short-term investments versus $57.0 billion of debt, positive working capital, and a net cash position, though liquidity ratios have eased and large long-term assets warrant monitoring. Cash flow is equally strong, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both improving despite heavier capex and some working-capital volatility. Growth remains constructive, and valuation appears reasonable relative to mid-teens expansion. Overall, Microsoft presents an elite financial profile, with only modest tension between rising reinvestment intensity and slightly softer liquidity and capital efficiency metrics.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Jun 17, 2026
Short Term
Bearish1–4 weeks
Medium Term
Bearish1–6 months
Long Term
Very Bearish6m+
Price Outlook
$393.83Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance remains lower unless MSFT can quickly reclaim the $396.14 to $399.94 area, with near-term bounces likely to fade beneath the daily pivot zone. A test of $391.44 is the most immediate downside watch, and a loss of that level would expose $387.64 and then $384.58 as the next support band.

Technical Overview

MSFT’s technical profile is uniformly challenged, with short-term momentum, medium-term trend, and long-term structure all leaning bearish. The stock is below its key moving averages, the MACD remains negative, and the recent Death Cross keeps the broader bias under pressure. That said, RSI is not oversold, so downside may unfold in a grinding manner rather than in a straight line. The most important levels to watch are $391.44 and $387.64 on the downside, with $396.14 and then $403.03 as the first meaningful recovery checkpoints. Weekly support near $383.4 and monthly support at $384.37 are the key structural lines that would need to hold to stabilize the chart.

Sign in for the full breakdown

See the full short, medium & long-term indicator breakdowns and support/resistance levels — free for registered users.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.