Skip to main content

NFLX$74.35

Netflix Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 25, 20263 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Sign in to view
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

55/100

Executive Summary

Netflix remains the clear scale leader in global streaming, with a powerful consumer brand, strong recommendation engine, and a growing portfolio of original franchises and owned intellectual property. Its moat is real, but it is narrower than a classic wide-moat platform because viewers can cancel monthly, many households multi-home across several services, and much of the catalog is still licensed rather than uniquely owned. Netflix’s recent moves into ad-supported plans, paid-sharing enforcement, live sports, WWE, and deeper control over production assets strengthen monetization and improve engagement. However, it still competes against giants with deep content budgets and adjacent ecosystems, including Amazon, Disney, YouTube, and Warner Bros. Discovery. The result is a durable but contestable advantage rather than an unassailable one.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Jul 16, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

79/100

Executive Summary

Netflix’s most notable strength is its durable profitability and cash generation: revenue has reaccelerated into the mid-teens, gross and operating margins have expanded meaningfully, and operating cash flow and free cash flow have risen sharply through FY2025 and TTM. This improvement is supported by strong returns on capital and steadily better asset turnover, while analyst forecasts still point to double-digit growth and an earnings trajectory that remains constructive. The main tension is the balance sheet, which is solid but not pristine: liquidity is adequate rather than ample, debt remains meaningful, and tangible book is negative due to the capital-intensive, intangible-heavy business model. Even so, leverage and solvency trends are improving, and aggressive share repurchases underscore confidence in ongoing cash flow. Overall, NFLX presents a high-quality financial profile with strong operating momentum, offset by moderate balance-sheet risk, consistent with its strong but not perfect ratings.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Aug 4, 2026
Short Term
Sign in to view
Medium Term
Sign in to view
Price Outlook
$73.51Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance over the next move is modestly higher toward $73.62 and potentially $74.42, but the advance likely faces resistance quickly given the broader downtrend. The key downside risk is a failure back through $72.68 and $71.85, which would reopen the door toward the low-$71s and keep the medium-term bearish trend intact.

Technical Overview

NFLX’s technical profile is mixed in the short run but clearly weaker on a broader horizon. Near-term momentum has stabilized above the 20-day average and MACD is constructive, yet RSI remains neutral and volume is contracting, suggesting any bounce may be limited. Medium-term conditions are still adverse because price remains below the 50-day and 200-day averages in Death Cross territory, while the long-term picture is even more fragile given the deep discount to the 200-day and the lower-third 52-week position. The key levels to watch are $73.62 and $74.42 on the upside, where rallies may encounter supply, and $72.68/$71.85 on the downside, where a loss of support would reinforce the prevailing bearish structure.

Sign in to see the full analysis

See the full short, medium & long-term indicator breakdowns and support/resistance levels — free for registered users.

Frequently asked questions about Netflix Inc.

Does Netflix Inc. (NFLX) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Netflix Inc. (NFLX) 55/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Netflix remains the clear scale leader in global streaming, with a powerful consumer brand, strong recommendation engine, and a growing portfolio of original franchises and owned intellectual property.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Netflix Inc.'s moat score?
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) has a moat score of 55/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is NFLX stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating NFLX's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Netflix Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Netflix Inc.'s (NFLX) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.