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NKE$35.51

Nike Inc.

Last Updated
Sep 20, 202622 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

54/100

Executive Summary

Nike remains one of the most powerful consumer brands in the world, anchored by the Swoosh, the Jordan franchise, elite athlete endorsements, and an unmatched ability to turn performance innovation into lifestyle demand. Its best advantages are intangible: brand awareness, cultural relevance, and decades of association with winning. Nike also benefits from scale in sourcing, marketing, and retail relationships, including major league and team partnerships. However, the business is still exposed to fashion cycles, imitation, and promotional pressure, which limits the breadth of its moat. Direct-to-consumer and digital channels help engagement, but they do not create durable network effects or strong switching costs. Overall, Nike has a real but not impregnable franchise: a narrow moat with a weakening trend as competition and execution challenges have pressured pricing power and share.

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Last Updated
Sep 20, 202622 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

60/100

Executive Summary

Nike’s strongest feature remains its solid balance sheet, with $24.60B of current assets against $12.55B of current liabilities and $9.03B of cash and short-term investments, leaving liquidity and leverage manageable. However, operating performance has cooled: FY2026 revenue was broadly flat at $46.40B, net income slipped to $3.11B, and margins remain below prior-cycle peaks despite a modest operating margin recovery to 9.01%. The more material concern is cash generation, as operating cash flow fell to $2.87B and free cash flow to $2.18B, reflecting working-capital pressure from receivables and inventory. Growth and profitability metrics also point to deceleration, with ROE down to 22.14% and ROIC to 19.55%. Overall, Nike’s profile is still financially sound, but the 6/10 income and ratio scores, 5.5/10 cash flow and growth scores, and 7/10 balance sheet rating signal a stable but under-earning business.

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Last Updated
Oct 5, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Technical Overview
$33.96Price at Analysis

NKE shows a clearly negative technical profile across all horizons. Short-term conditions are weak, with price below the 20-day average, MACD negative, RSI near oversold levels, and price pressed against the lower Bollinger Band on heavier volume. The medium- and long-term structures are more damaged, with price well below the 50-day and 200-day averages, Death Cross territory, and a downtrend defined by a lower-third 52-week position. Key levels sit tightly around the current price: daily support at $33.11 and resistance at $34.13, while monthly resistance at $34.06 sits just overhead and monthly support at $32.73 is nearby below.

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Frequently asked questions about Nike Inc.

Does Nike Inc. (NKE) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Nike Inc. (NKE) 54/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Nike remains one of the most powerful consumer brands in the world, anchored by the Swoosh, the Jordan franchise, elite athlete endorsements, and an unmatched ability to turn performance innovation into lifestyle demand.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Nike Inc.'s moat score?
Nike Inc. (NKE) has a moat score of 54/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does NKE's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates NKE's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Nike Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Nike Inc.'s (NKE) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.