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NVDA$210.96

NVIDIA Corporation

Last Updated
Jul 3, 202611 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Exceptional
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

84/100

Executive Summary

NVIDIA has built one of the strongest competitive positions in global semiconductors, anchored by a software and hardware ecosystem that is unusually difficult to displace. Its CUDA platform, deep developer adoption, and broad integration across AI training, inference, networking, and systems design create a powerful flywheel that keeps large customers and developers inside the stack. Switching costs are high, and the company’s brand now carries premium status in AI infrastructure. The main vulnerabilities are not trivial: leading-edge competition is intensifying, hyperscalers are pursuing custom silicon, and export restrictions can distort growth. Even so, the moat remains structurally durable because the advantage is not just chips, but the full operating environment around them. The moat trend is positive as AI workloads expand and Nvidia keeps extending its platform upward and outward.

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Last Updated
Jul 13, 20261 day ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy61 analysts
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

88/100

Executive Summary

NVIDIA’s most notable financial strength is its extraordinary combination of hypergrowth and elite profitability. Revenue surged from $26.9B in FY22 to $215.9B in FY26, with TTM revenue at $253.5B, while net income and margins expanded even faster, supporting operating and profit margins above 60% TTM. This earnings power is matched by exceptional cash generation: operating cash flow reached $125.6B TTM and free cash flow $119.1B, despite working-capital outflows and higher capex. The balance sheet is also very strong, with cash and short-term investments comfortably exceeding debt and negative net debt, though rising receivables, inventory, and goodwill slightly reduce asset quality. Liquidity, leverage, efficiency, and returns remain outstanding, and the forecast profile suggests continued strong growth with moderating momentum. Overall, NVIDIA presents a top-tier financial profile, reflected in its uniformly high ratings across categories.

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Last Updated
Jul 13, 2026
Short Term
Bullish1–4 weeks
Medium Term
Bullish1–6 months
Long Term
Bullish6m+
Price Outlook
$210.96Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance is modestly higher, with a probable test of $211.43 and then $213.57 if current momentum persists. The key downside risk is a failure back below $207.96, which would expose $205.92 and $204.92 as the next support cluster. Overall, the near-term bias favors a gradual advance rather than an impulsive breakout.

Technical Overview

NVDA’s technical profile is broadly constructive across all horizons. Near term, momentum is positive with price above the 20-day average, MACD supportive, and Bollinger positioning favoring continued strength, though RSI and volume are not yet signaling an aggressive breakout. Medium term, the stock remains well supported by its 50-day and 200-day moving averages and continues to trade in Golden Cross territory, reinforcing the larger uptrend. Long term, the trend is still intact but not stretched to the point of euphoric overextension. The most important levels to watch are $211.43 on the upside and $207.96/$205.92 on the downside, since those pivots align closely with the nearest trend support and would help define whether price consolidates or extends higher.

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.