ORCL$145.00
Oracle Corporation
Moat Score
64/100
Oracle’s moat is built on deeply embedded enterprise databases, mission-critical applications, and a large installed base that is expensive and risky to replace. Those assets still support meaningful pricing power and recurring demand, especially in large organizations with entrenched Oracle workloads. The company is also benefiting from a stronger cloud strategy, including database distribution across multiple hyperscalers and rapid growth in cloud infrastructure tied to AI demand. Offsetting that strength, Oracle faces intense competition in infrastructure cloud, enterprise apps, and database alternatives, which limits the breadth of its advantage. The result is a real but not unassailable competitive position: durable in core niches, less compelling in newer markets. The moat appears to be widening modestly as cloud execution improves.
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Financial Score
65/100
Oracle’s standout strength is its accelerating earnings power, with revenue rising from $42.44B in FY2022 to $67.36B in FY2026 and TTM reaching $71.78B, while net income expanded to $18.92B and operating margin held above 33%. The income statement is therefore robust, but it contrasts sharply with cash flow, where operating cash generation climbed to $46.94B TTM yet free cash flow fell to -$23.69B as capex surged to $75.66B TTM. The balance sheet has improved in liquidity, with the current ratio at 1.17 and quick ratio at 1.02, but leverage remains stretched given $169.14B of debt and negative net cash of $132.07B. Forecasts and sentiment are constructive, with revenue projected to accelerate meaningfully, but returns and asset turnover have softened. Overall, Oracle presents a strong growth-and-profitability profile tempered by elevated leverage and heavy reinvestment, consistent with its mid-range balance-sheet and cash-flow ratings.
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ORCL’s technical profile is mixed in the near term but remains negative across the broader horizon. Short-term indicators are centered around a neutral RSI and a middle Bollinger Band position, yet MACD is negative and volume is contracting, while price sits only slightly above the 20-day average. Medium- and long-term conditions are weaker: the stock is below the 200-day average, in Death Cross territory, and positioned in the lower third of its 52-week range. Key price markers sit close by at $144.99 and $144.65 on the daily and weekly pivots, with heavier structural support lower at $131.58 monthly and resistance overhead at $147.58 weekly and $161.47 monthly.
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Frequently asked questions about Oracle Corporation
- Does Oracle Corporation (ORCL) have an economic moat?
- MoatScan AI rates Oracle Corporation (ORCL) 64/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Oracle’s moat is built on deeply embedded enterprise databases, mission-critical applications, and a large installed base that is expensive and risky to replace.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
- What is Oracle Corporation's moat score?
- Oracle Corporation (ORCL) has a moat score of 64/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
- How does ORCL's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
- MoatScan AI estimates ORCL's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
- What is Oracle Corporation's fair value estimate?
- MoatScan AI derives Oracle Corporation's (ORCL) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.