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PPL$35.38

PPL Corporation

Last Updated
Jun 21, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

47/100

Executive Summary

PPL Corporation has a real but limited moat built primarily on regulated utility franchises in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island. Its distribution and transmission assets sit behind high regulatory and capital barriers, creating localized monopoly economics and steady rate-base growth. However, the company lacks meaningful network effects, and customer switching costs are not a true source of advantage because the moat is largely structural and regulatory rather than behavioral. Brand and operating reputation help, but they are not hard-to-copy sources of pricing power. The result is a defensible business with durable cash flows, yet one whose competitive edge is narrower than the strongest utility franchises. The moat is stable, supported by ongoing grid investment and decarbonization spending, but not clearly widening.

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Last Updated
Jun 21, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

60/100

Executive Summary

PPL Corporation’s most notable strength is its improving earnings power, with revenue rising steadily to $9.3 billion TTM and net income reaching about $1.2 billion as operating margins expanded into the mid-20% range. Cash generation is stable at the operating level, but heavy utility-grade capital spending has kept free cash flow deeply negative, limiting flexibility. The balance sheet is asset-rich and equity has grown gradually, yet leverage remains meaningful, debt is high relative to EBITDA, and near-term liquidity is only adequate. Profitability and returns have improved, and forward estimates suggest modest mid-single-digit growth with EPS outpacing revenue, supporting a reasonable valuation profile. Overall, PPL looks like a classic regulated utility: durable and gradually improving, but constrained by capital intensity and leverage, consistent with its mid-range financial ratings.

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Last Updated
Jun 21, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$35.38Price at Analysis

The most probable path is a modest grind higher toward $35.75 and potentially $35.95 if the current momentum improvement persists, though the move likely faces resistance in the mid-$36 area. The main downside risk is a loss of $35.13, which would put $34.93 and $34.62 back into focus and reinforce the broader bearish medium-term structure.

Technical Overview

PPL’s technical profile is mixed across horizons. Near term, momentum has improved enough to keep the tape from being outright weak, as bullish MACD and elevated volume offset the stock’s position just below the 20-day average. Medium and long term remain more cautious: price is still beneath the 50-day and 200-day averages, the broader trend is down, and the 52-week range position remains in the lower third. The key levels to watch are the $35.13–$34.93 support band on the downside and $35.75–$36.15 on the upside, where short-term price acceptance or rejection should help define the next directional phase.

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Frequently asked questions about PPL Corporation

Does PPL Corporation (PPL) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates PPL Corporation (PPL) 47/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. PPL Corporation has a real but limited moat built primarily on regulated utility franchises in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is PPL Corporation's moat score?
PPL Corporation (PPL) has a moat score of 47/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is PPL stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating PPL's intrinsic value with a EV/EBITDA model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is PPL Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives PPL Corporation's (PPL) fair value per share from a EV/EBITDA model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.