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QCOM$187.67

Qualcomm Incorporated

Last Updated
Jul 1, 202613 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Strong
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

62/100

Executive Summary

Qualcomm’s moat is anchored by its portfolio of standard-essential wireless patents and its entrenched role in premium mobile chipsets. That combination creates real pricing power, recurring licensing revenue, and meaningful design-in stickiness with handset makers and carriers. However, the moat is narrower than a classic wide-moat franchise because it depends on standards-based ecosystems, faces persistent antitrust scrutiny, and competes against well-funded rivals in semiconductors. Customers can multi-source many chip functions, and royalty disputes periodically pressure the business model. Diversification into automotive, PCs, and AI accelerators broadens the opportunity set, but the core advantage remains strongest in mobile connectivity rather than across all end markets.

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Last Updated
Jul 1, 202613 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
Hold37 analysts
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

70/100

Executive Summary

Qualcomm’s most notable strength is its powerful cash generation: operating cash flow and free cash flow have both trended higher, with FCF margins near 28% and ample support for dividends and buybacks. The balance sheet is also solid, with comfortable liquidity, manageable leverage, and expanding equity, though net debt remains and rising goodwill modestly weakens asset quality. Income statement performance is constructive but less smooth, as revenue has recovered after a FY2023 dip, while net income has been more volatile due to margin pressure and a FY2025 tax spike. Key ratios show healthy profitability and acceptable liquidity, but efficiency has been mixed and returns have moderated from earlier peaks. With growth expected to be modest and valuation reasonable rather than compelling, Qualcomm presents a fundamentally resilient but cyclical financial profile, consistent with mid-6 to high-7 ratings across the core areas.

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Last Updated
Jul 1, 2026
Short Term
Bearish1–4 weeks
Medium Term
Bearish1–6 months
Long Term
Neutral6m+
Price Outlook
$188.00Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance appears modestly lower in the near term, with price likely to work toward the $184.33-$182.84 support area unless $188.52 is quickly reclaimed. A break below $180.67 would expose the broader monthly floor at $180.45, while a move through $189.86 would be the first sign that downside pressure is easing.

Technical Overview

QCOM’s technical profile is mixed, but the near-term tone is clearly softer than the longer-term structure. The stock remains above its 200-day moving average, yet it is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day averages, with a bearish MACD and subdued volume confirming a loss of momentum. That leaves the chart in a fragile consolidation phase rather than a clean trend. The most important levels to watch are $188.52 on the upside and $184.33/$180.45 on the downside, as those marks frame whether the current decline stabilizes or extends into a broader retracement.

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.