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RKLB$150.23

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

Last Updated
May 28, 202627 days ago
Moat & Trend
Narrow Moat Positive
Management
Competent
AI Impact
0 Neutral
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

57/100

Executive Summary

Rocket Lab has built a real but still developing competitive position in small launch and space systems. Its strongest defenses come from mission integration switching costs, a credible brand in reliable launch execution, and a vertically integrated operating model that improves scheduling and economics as volume rises. However, the industry remains highly competitive, with SpaceX dominating launch and multiple well-funded entrants pursuing the same customer base. Network effects are present mainly through ecosystem breadth rather than classic user-to-user dynamics, so they are supportive but not decisive. The moat is improving as the company expands beyond Electron into higher-value space systems and the Neutron program, but it is not yet deep enough to qualify as wide.

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Last Updated
May 28, 202627 days ago
Target Price
$103.91-30.8% Downside
Analyst Consensus
Buy18 analysts
FAIR VALUE
$43.18-71.3% Overvalued
Financial Strength

Financial Score

51/100

Executive Summary

Rocket Lab’s strongest feature is its rapid revenue expansion, with sales rising from $62 million in FY2021 to $602 million in FY2025 and $680 million TTM, alongside improving gross margins and narrowing EPS losses. However, this growth has not yet translated into profitability or cash generation: operating losses remain deep, free cash flow is persistently negative, and financing still supports much of the business. The balance sheet is a clear offset, with substantial cash, low near-term liabilities, and net cash position, though equity quality is diluted by heavy goodwill and retained deficits. Overall, RKLB presents a high-growth, well-funded but still loss-making profile, consistent with mid-range income and cash flow ratings and stronger balance sheet and growth scores.

Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Ratios
Growth & Forecast
Fair Value Estimation

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.