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SE$114.80

Sea Limited

Last Updated
Aug 11, 202617 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

58/100

Executive Summary

Sea Limited has built a credible but still incomplete competitive advantage across Southeast Asia through Shopee, Garena, and Monee. Shopee benefits from scale, traffic density, and a broad seller base, while Garena’s Free Fire franchise remains a durable consumer asset in gaming. Monee adds an embedded payments and credit layer that can reinforce commerce engagement over time. However, Sea’s moat is narrower than that of a truly dominant platform because customers and merchants can multi-home, logistics advantages are not exclusive, and brand loyalty is meaningful but not impregnable. The company’s first full-year profitability and continued monetization suggest improving operating discipline and a strengthening strategic position. Overall, Sea appears to have a real but limited moat that is more ecosystem-based than structurally entrenched, with its durability likely supported by execution rather than near-absolute market lock-in.

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Last Updated
Aug 11, 202617 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

77/100

Executive Summary

Sea Limited’s most notable strength is its improving quality of scale: revenue has more than doubled since FY22, profitability has turned decisively positive, and operating margins have expanded to 8.7% as gross margin held near 45%. Cash generation has also strengthened materially, with operating cash flow rising to $5.0B in FY25 and free cash flow to $4.5B, supporting a much healthier balance sheet. Liquidity remains very strong, leverage has fallen sharply, and equity has expanded to $12.5B, although rising receivables and volatile working capital warrant monitoring. The main tension is growth moderation, as TTM revenue growth has slowed to 9.8% from FY25’s 36.4%, even as forecasts still imply solid compounding and further EPS improvement. Overall, Sea Limited presents a stronger, more conservative financial profile than in prior years, consistent with its solid ratings across profitability, cash flow, balance sheet strength, and forward growth.

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Last Updated
Jun 24, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$91.79Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance is modestly higher in the near term, with a likely probe of $92.45 and then $93.34 if momentum holds. The main downside risk is a slip back below $88.40, which would expose $87.07 and $86.90 as the next support checkpoints. Even with the current bounce, the broader setup still favors a contained recovery rather than a full trend reversal.

Technical Overview

SE’s technical profile is mixed in the short run but remains weak on a broader horizon. Near-term momentum has improved, with price back above the 20-day and 50-day averages and MACD positive, yet RSI is still neutral and volume confirmation is limited. That short-term recovery is unfolding inside a much larger downtrend: the stock remains well below the 200-day average, in Death Cross territory, and near the lower third of its 52-week range. The key levels to watch are $92.45 and $93.34 on the upside, versus $88.40 and $86.90 on the downside, as these mark the first meaningful tests of whether the rebound can extend beyond a tactical bounce.

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Frequently asked questions about Sea Limited

Does Sea Limited (SE) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Sea Limited (SE) 58/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Sea Limited has built a credible but still incomplete competitive advantage across Southeast Asia through Shopee, Garena, and Monee.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Sea Limited's moat score?
Sea Limited (SE) has a moat score of 58/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is SE stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating SE's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Sea Limited's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Sea Limited's (SE) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.