SHOP$128.79
Shopify Inc.
Moat Score
56/100
Shopify is a high-quality commerce platform with a durable but not dominant competitive position. Its best assets are the merchant ecosystem, integrated payments and checkout, and a broad app/partner layer that makes the platform practical to run end to end. Shop Pay, the App Store, and merchant services such as capital and POS increase everyday usage and raise the cost of switching. However, Shopify operates in a highly contestable market with capable rivals across SMB, mid-market, and enterprise commerce, so merchants can still multi-home or migrate if economics worsen. The result is a Narrow Moat: real durability, but not the kind of structural lock-in that would make the franchise nearly unassailable for decades. Recent AI-commerce and B2B initiatives point to a Positive moat trend.
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Financial Score
80/100
Shopify’s most notable strength is its exceptionally conservative, liquid balance sheet, with $4.95B of cash and short-term investments, $5.94B of long-term investments, and only $178M of debt, giving it substantial financial flexibility. That foundation supports a business still compounding rapidly: revenue rose from $4.61B in FY2021 to $11.56B in FY2025, with TTM at $13.27B, while operating margin expanded to 17.8%. Cash generation is also robust, as operating cash flow reached $2.38B TTM and free cash flow $2.01B, though working capital swings and investment gains/losses add noise. The main tension is that gross margin has eased to 48.1% and reported net income remains volatile, even as core performance improves. Overall, Shopify presents a high-growth, well-capitalized profile with solid profitability momentum, consistent with its strong ratings across balance sheet, cash flow, and growth.
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SHOP’s technical profile is mixed across horizons, with short-term momentum still under pressure while the longer setup shows early signs of stabilization. Near-term price action remains fragile beneath the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, and RSI/MACD point to continued caution. That said, the recent Golden Cross and the stock’s position in the middle third of its 52-week range suggest the downtrend is not especially deep, leaving room for a base to form. The most important levels to watch are $128.43–$129.05 in the very near term and $126.52 on a weekly basis, while $132.71 and $138.90 mark the first meaningful upside checkpoints.
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Frequently asked questions about Shopify Inc.
- Does Shopify Inc. (SHOP) have an economic moat?
- MoatScan AI rates Shopify Inc. (SHOP) 56/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Shopify is a high-quality commerce platform with a durable but not dominant competitive position.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
- What is Shopify Inc.'s moat score?
- Shopify Inc. (SHOP) has a moat score of 56/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
- How does SHOP's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
- MoatScan AI estimates SHOP's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
- What is Shopify Inc.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan AI derives Shopify Inc.'s (SHOP) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.