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SMCI$39.59

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Last Updated
Sep 6, 2026about 1 month ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

24/100

Executive Summary

Super Micro is a high-speed server integrator with genuine execution strengths: rapid customization, close ties to Nvidia and other component vendors, and an early position in liquid-cooled, GPU-dense systems. Those capabilities have helped it win prominent AI deployments and scale quickly as demand shifted toward rack-scale infrastructure. However, the business still looks like a technically competent manufacturer in a highly substitutable market. Customers can multi-source, differentiation largely follows chip vendor road maps, and larger rivals or ODM partners can replicate much of the offering. Past accounting, audit, and export-control controversies also weigh on trust and may limit pricing power with enterprise and government buyers. Overall, Supermicro has useful competitive advantages, but they do not add up to a durable structural moat.

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Last Updated
Sep 6, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

58/100

Executive Summary

Super Micro Computer’s defining strength is its extraordinary revenue expansion, with sales surging from $5.20B to $39.06B and forecasts pointing to continued growth, even as the pace moderates later in the outlook. Income generation has improved, but profitability remains uneven: gross margin compressed to 10.82%, operating performance has been volatile, and earnings include some non-recurring support. The balance sheet is still liquid, with cash and short-term investments at $7.55B and current assets comfortably covering current liabilities, yet leverage has risen sharply as total debt reached $9.26B. The main tension is between strong reported earnings and very weak cash conversion, highlighted by operating cash flow of -$6.81B and free cash flow of -$6.97B in FY2026. Overall, SMCI presents a high-growth but financially uneven profile, consistent with mid-range income, balance sheet, and ratio ratings but weak cash flow quality.

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Frequently asked questions about Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Does Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) 24/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Super Micro is a high-speed server integrator with genuine execution strengths: rapid customization, close ties to Nvidia and other component vendors, and an early position in liquid-cooled, GPU-dense systems.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s moat score?
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has a moat score of 24/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does SMCI's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates SMCI's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s (SMCI) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.