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STTState Street Corporation

$153.69
Last Updated
May 22, 202628 days ago
Moat Type & Trend
Narrow Moat Stable
Management
Competent
AI Impact
+1 Neutral
Competitive Radar
Executive Summary

State Street has a real but constrained moat built on custody, fund administration, and the SPDR ETF franchise. Its services are deeply embedded in clients’ operations, which creates meaningful switching friction and supports long-lived relationships. The company also benefits from trust, regulatory scale, and a concentrated industry structure with only a few global providers. However, the economics are still highly competitive: clients multi-home, fees are transparent, and peers such as BNY Mellon and Northern Trust can replicate much of the value proposition. The moat is therefore narrow rather than wide. The trend is stable to slightly positive as scale, automation, and ETF growth support the franchise, but pricing pressure keeps the overall durability capped.

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Last Updated
May 22, 202628 days ago
Target Price
$148.86-3.1% Downside
FAIR VALUE
$207.20+34.8% Upside
Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Financial Strength
Executive Summary

State Street’s most notable strength is its durable earnings power, with revenue, margins, and profitability recovering well after FY2023 and holding at solid levels through FY2025. Net interest income and transaction-based revenues have supported growth, while ROE remains respectable despite a modest latest dip. The balance sheet is stable and well capitalized, with very strong cash reserves and net cash, though elevated liabilities and operating-model-driven current liabilities require context. Cash flow is the main inconsistency, as operating and free cash generation remain volatile due to restricted and segregated asset movements. Overall, STT presents a solid but not flawless financial profile: strong income quality, acceptable leverage, and uneven cash conversion, consistent with its mid-to-high 6/10 and 7/10 ratings.

Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Key Ratios
Growth & Forecast
Fair Value Estimation

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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.