Skip to main content

TM$192.50

Toyota Motor Corporation

Last Updated
Sep 22, 202617 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
Sign in to view
Competitive Radar

Moat Score

48/100

Executive Summary

Toyota’s competitive advantage is built on execution, scale, and trust rather than on a single hard-to-copy asset. The company’s manufacturing system, broad model lineup, and reputation for reliability have helped it become the world’s largest automaker and a leader in hybrids. Its financial services arm and extensive dealer network add commercial reach, while the Toyota Production System remains an organizational asset that many peers have tried to imitate without fully replicating. However, the auto industry is structurally tough, with heavy capital needs, short product cycles, and relentless pricing competition. Toyota also faces pressure from the transition to battery-electric vehicles, where its lead is less established than in hybrids. Overall, the moat is real, but it is narrower than the best franchises in consumer or software sectors.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Strategic Factor Breakdown, Management Quality Assessment, and AI Impact Assessment are available to registered users — it's free.

Last Updated
Sep 22, 202617 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

69/100

Executive Summary

Toyota Motor Corporation’s standout strength is its scale-backed resilience: revenue expanded from JPY 31.38T in FY2022 to JPY 50.68T in FY2026, and TTM revenue reached JPY 51.96T, while the balance sheet remains substantial with JPY 13.35T in cash and short-term investments and JPY 38.23T of equity. That said, profitability has softened from FY2024 peaks, with gross margin at 16.7% and operating margin at 7.4% in FY2026, and earnings are still influenced by FX and other non-operating gains. Cash flow is adequate but uneven, as operating cash flow improved to JPY 5.47T in FY2026 yet TTM free cash flow stayed negative at JPY 842.3B amid heavy CapEx. Leverage has also risen, with debt/equity at 1.15 and net debt/EBITDA at 5.46, tempering otherwise solid liquidity and growth momentum. Overall, the profile is healthy but not without tension, consistent with mid-to-upper tier ratings across the model.

Sign in to see the full analysis

The Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, Key Ratios, Forecast, and Fair Value analysis are available to registered users — it's free.

Sign In to Run AI-Powered Technical Analysis

Create a free account to run a fresh technical analysis across three timeframes — short, medium, and long term.

Frequently asked questions about Toyota Motor Corporation

Does Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) 48/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Toyota’s competitive advantage is built on execution, scale, and trust rather than on a single hard-to-copy asset.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Toyota Motor Corporation's moat score?
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) has a moat score of 48/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does TM's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates TM's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Toyota Motor Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Toyota Motor Corporation's (TM) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.