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TSLA$339.96

Tesla, Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 22, 20266 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

52/100

Executive Summary

Tesla has built a genuine but uneven moat around integrated EV manufacturing, software, charging infrastructure, and battery/energy storage know-how. The strongest assets are the Supercharger/NACS ecosystem, direct sales, over-the-air software control, and a still-valuable brand that remains synonymous with electric vehicles. But the moat is less deep than it once appeared: battery technology is more accessible, rivals have narrowed product gaps, and Tesla’s vehicles compete in markets where price cuts quickly transfer volume. The energy-storage business and charging standard adoption improve the long-term platform story, while FSD and robotaxi remain option value rather than fully proven durable advantages. Recent share loss to BYD and weaker international demand suggest pressure on the core automotive moat. Overall, Tesla is not moatless, but its edge is narrower and more exposed than a classic wide-moat franchise.

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Last Updated
Aug 14, 202614 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

62/100

Executive Summary

Tesla’s standout strength remains its balance sheet and liquidity profile: cash and investments climbed to $44.1B in FY2025, working capital expanded materially, and equity growth has kept leverage contained despite rising liabilities. Cash generation is also solid, with operating cash flow and free cash flow staying positive through the cycle and improving in TTM. However, this financial resilience contrasts with a softer operating picture: revenue growth has slowed, margins have compressed, and net income has weakened meaningfully as R&D and SG&A outpaced sales. Efficiency metrics have also deteriorated, with asset turnover and returns on capital trending lower. While analysts expect a revenue reacceleration, the near-term earnings path remains uneven. Overall, Tesla presents a mixed but still fundamentally sturdy profile: strong liquidity and cash production offset by clear pressure on profitability and efficiency, consistent with its mid-range income and ratio ratings but stronger balance sheet score.

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Last Updated
Aug 14, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$339.96Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance over the near term is modestly higher toward $341.88 and potentially $347.55 if momentum persists, but the rally still sits inside a larger bearish intermediate trend. A failure to hold $329.59 would expose $325.48 and then $319.21 as the main downside risk, with the lower weekly support band likely drawing price if the bounce fades.

Technical Overview

TSLA’s technical picture is mixed at the surface but still defensive underneath. Short-term momentum has improved, with price holding above the 20-day MA and MACD turning positive, yet the stock remains below the 50-day and 200-day MAs, which keeps the intermediate and long-term trend anchored in bearish territory. RSI in the upper-60s suggests buyers are active, but not enough to fully overcome the larger downtrend or the recent Death Cross. The most important levels to watch are $341.88 and $347.55 on the upside, where near-term resistance clusters, and $329.59/$325.48 on the downside, where a failure would reinforce the broader bearish structure. The monthly pivot at $347.15 is the key line that separates a routine bounce from a more meaningful trend repair.

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Frequently asked questions about Tesla, Inc.

Does Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) 52/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Tesla has built a genuine but uneven moat around integrated EV manufacturing, software, charging infrastructure, and battery/energy storage know-how.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Tesla, Inc.'s moat score?
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a moat score of 52/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is TSLA stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating TSLA's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Tesla, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Tesla, Inc.'s (TSLA) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.