TTD$13.18
The Trade Desk Inc.
Moat Score
58/100
The Trade Desk has built a credible but not impregnable competitive position in independent programmatic advertising. Its strengths come from a growing ecosystem of advertisers, premium publishers, and identity and measurement tools that make the platform harder to replace than a commodity software vendor. The most durable advantage is operational: customers invest in workflows, data, and optimization habits that create moderate switching friction. Still, the business lacks the hallmarks of a wide moat. Multi-homing is common, rivals can replicate many features, and giant ecosystems such as Google and Amazon cap pricing power. Recent execution volatility and intensified competition suggest the moat is stable to slightly weakening, not expanding. Overall, TTD looks like a Narrow Moat business with respectable but imperfect durability.
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Financial Score
67/100
The Trade Desk’s strongest financial feature is its exceptional cash generation, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising steadily and TTM FCF reaching new highs, supported by disciplined expense control and solid operating margins near 20%. Revenue growth has been powerful over the multi-year period, but it is clearly decelerating, and recent TTM earnings fell as a higher effective tax rate and slower top-line momentum weighed on net income. The balance sheet remains resilient overall, with ample liquidity and modest leverage, though rising receivables and a decline in equity signal some softness in capital quality. Efficiency and profitability ratios remain broadly constructive, but forecast revenue and EPS trends point to a more mature phase of growth. Overall, TTD still screens as financially sound, yet the mix of a strong cash profile and moderating growth supports a solid but no longer exceptional risk-reward profile, consistent with its mid-to-high single-digit ratings.
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The path of least resistance remains lower, with brief oversold bounces likely to encounter resistance near $18.44 and then $18.97. The key downside risk is a clean break of $17.44/$17.48, which would leave $17.05 as the next meaningful structural support and keep the trend under pressure.
TTD’s technical picture is uniformly weak across horizons. Short-term momentum is oversold but still bearish, with RSI deep in oversold territory, MACD below signal, and price pinned under the 20-day average. The medium-term chart is no better, as the stock remains below the 50-day and 200-day averages in Death Cross territory, while the long-term structure sits at the bottom of the 52-week range and far beneath prior trend support. The most relevant levels to watch are $17.44/$17.48 on the downside and $18.44/$18.97 on the upside, since those areas define whether the stock stabilizes or continues to trade in a broad breakdown phase.
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Frequently asked questions about The Trade Desk Inc.
- Does The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) have an economic moat?
- MoatScan AI rates The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) 58/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. The Trade Desk has built a credible but not impregnable competitive position in independent programmatic advertising.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
- What is The Trade Desk Inc.'s moat score?
- The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) has a moat score of 58/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
- Is TTD stock overvalued or undervalued?
- MoatScan AI answers this by estimating TTD's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
- What is The Trade Desk Inc.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan AI derives The Trade Desk Inc.'s (TTD) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.