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WM$239.31

Waste Management, Inc.

Last Updated
Jul 19, 2026about 1 month ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

75/100

Executive Summary

Waste Management, Inc. has a durable competitive position built on local landfill scarcity, dense route networks, regulatory permitting, and the scale needed to serve municipalities and commercial customers efficiently. The company does not benefit from classic consumer network effects, but it does enjoy meaningful structural advantages from its integrated collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal footprint. Switching costs are moderate to high because service continuity, contract structures, and operational integration matter to customers. WM’s brand, permits, and landfill ownership create strong intangible and entry-barrier benefits, while route density and vertical integration support superior unit economics. The moat is wide overall because these advantages are hard to replicate at scale and usually persist through cycles. The trend is stable, with incremental support from medical waste expansion and landfill-gas monetization.

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Last Updated
Jul 19, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

71/100

Executive Summary

Waste Management’s standout strength is its durable cash generation, with operating cash flow and free cash flow rising steadily even as heavy capital spending and dividends remain well covered. Revenue has grown consistently from FY2021 through FY2025, gross margin has improved, and profitability and return metrics remain solid, though operating margin and FY2025 net income softened as interest and other non-operating costs increased. This operating resilience contrasts with a more constrained balance sheet: liquidity is tight, leverage is elevated, and the recent jump in goodwill and intangibles adds some quality risk. Efficiency has also softened, with asset turnover drifting lower, while growth is expected to moderate from the recent step-up. Overall, WM presents a high-quality, defensive financial profile with strong cash flow and steady growth, offset by moderate leverage and limited near-term liquidity, consistent with its mid-to-upper tier ratings.

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Last Updated
Aug 28, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$217.76Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance is modestly higher in the near term as the oversold setup could drive a recovery toward $219.45 and potentially $221.15, but the move would still need confirmation from improving momentum. The key downside risk is a loss of $217.4, which would expose $215.73 and then $214.04; failure there would reinforce the broader bearish structure and shift attention toward $214.83 on the weekly chart.

Technical Overview

WM’s technical picture is mixed, with short-term conditions stretched to the downside but the intermediate trend still clearly weak. RSI is oversold and price is pressing the lower Bollinger Band, which supports the case for a bounce, yet the stock remains below the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages and MACD has not turned up. That combination keeps the short-term tone cautious and the medium-term posture bearish. The most relevant levels to watch are $217.4 and $219.45 on the near term, $214.83 and $221.01 on the weekly structure, and $223.22 as the first major monthly ceiling, with $208.48 as the key broader support if the downtrend reasserts.

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Frequently asked questions about Waste Management, Inc.

Does Waste Management, Inc. (WM) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Waste Management, Inc. (WM) 75/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Waste Management, Inc.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Waste Management, Inc.'s moat score?
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) has a moat score of 75/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is WM stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating WM's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Waste Management, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Waste Management, Inc.'s (WM) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.