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WM$219.66

Waste Management, Inc.

Last Updated
Jul 19, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

75/100

Executive Summary

Waste Management, Inc. has a durable competitive position built on local landfill scarcity, dense route networks, regulatory permitting, and the scale needed to serve municipalities and commercial customers efficiently. The company does not benefit from classic consumer network effects, but it does enjoy meaningful structural advantages from its integrated collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal footprint. Switching costs are moderate to high because service continuity, contract structures, and operational integration matter to customers. WM’s brand, permits, and landfill ownership create strong intangible and entry-barrier benefits, while route density and vertical integration support superior unit economics. The moat is wide overall because these advantages are hard to replicate at scale and usually persist through cycles. The trend is stable, with incremental support from medical waste expansion and landfill-gas monetization.

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Last Updated
Aug 31, 2026about 1 month ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

76/100

Executive Summary

Waste Management’s standout strength is its durable cash generation, with operating cash flow rising from $4.34B in FY2021 to $6.52B TTM and free cash flow still at $3.57B despite heavy capital spending. Income statement performance is similarly resilient, as revenue grew to $25.67B TTM, gross margin expanded to 40.44%, and operating margin remained strong at 18.63%, though growth has moderated and interest expense climbed to $912M. The main tension lies in the balance sheet: cash is only $557M against $23.36B of debt, working capital is -$551M, and tangible book value is deeply negative at -$7.72B. Even so, leverage and returns are manageable, with debt/EBITDA at 2.85 and ROE near 30%. Overall, WM presents a high-quality but leveraged profile, consistent with its strong operating and cash flow ratings, tempered by a middling balance sheet assessment.

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Last Updated
Aug 28, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Technical Overview
$217.76Price at Analysis

WM’s technical picture is mixed, with short-term conditions stretched to the downside but the intermediate trend still clearly weak. RSI is oversold and price is pressing the lower Bollinger Band, which supports the case for a bounce, yet the stock remains below the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages and MACD has not turned up. That combination keeps the short-term tone cautious and the medium-term posture bearish. The most relevant levels to watch are $217.4 and $219.45 on the near term, $214.83 and $221.01 on the weekly structure, and $223.22 as the first major monthly ceiling, with $208.48 as the key broader support if the downtrend reasserts.

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Frequently asked questions about Waste Management, Inc.

Does Waste Management, Inc. (WM) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Waste Management, Inc. (WM) 75/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Waste Management, Inc.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Waste Management, Inc.'s moat score?
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) has a moat score of 75/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does WM's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates WM's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Waste Management, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Waste Management, Inc.'s (WM) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia or any other financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.