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CRDO$165.22

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

Last Updated
Sep 3, 20264 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

47/100

Executive Summary

Credo Technology Group has a real but not dominant moat built around high-speed connectivity for data centers, AI clusters, and server interconnects. Its strongest assets are specialized SerDes and signal-integrity design expertise, a patent portfolio that supports licensing, and products that can save power and improve performance in demanding deployments. Customers face meaningful re-qualification costs once Credo parts are designed in, which helps protect share on established platforms. However, the market remains competitive, with large semiconductor rivals and newer AI-focused entrants capable of targeting the same sockets. Credo’s manufacturing model supports attractive margins, but it does not create a structural monopoly. Overall, the company looks like a Narrow Moat name with a positive trend as AI infrastructure demand deepens and its technical differentiation becomes more valuable.

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Last Updated
Sep 3, 20264 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

81/100

Executive Summary

CRDO’s most notable strength is its combination of rapid top-line acceleration and a fortress-like balance sheet. Revenue surged from $193M in FY2024 to $437M in FY2025 and $1.34B in FY2026, while gross margin expanded to 68.0% and operating margin reached 33.3%, driving net income to $472M in FY2026 and $538M TTM. Liquidity remains exceptional, with $1.47B of current assets versus $198M of current liabilities, $764M in cash and short-term investments, and net cash of $744M. Cash generation has improved sharply, though working capital swings and $182.64M of stock-based compensation add noise to quality. Leverage is minimal, and profitability metrics such as ROE at 30.67% are strong. Overall, CRDO presents a high-quality, growth-oriented profile, consistent with its 8/10 to 8.5/10 ratings across the core areas.

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Last Updated
Sep 3, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$165.22Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance is modestly lower to sideways in the near term, with $185.63–$186.71 as the first recovery zone to reclaim. If that band fails to hold as support on a pullback, the more relevant downside test shifts toward $179.79 and then $145.09; a sustained move back above $201.24 would be needed to meaningfully improve the tone.

Technical Overview

CRDO’s technical profile is mixed at the margin but still leans bearish across the board. Short-term momentum is weak, with price below the 20-day average, RSI in a soft zone, and MACD negative, even as heavy volume suggests traders are active around the current level. Medium-term conditions are more challenging because the stock trades well under the 50-day and 200-day averages and remains in a downtrend after a recent death cross. Long-term structure is also damaged, though the stock is not trading near its 52-week low, leaving room for stabilization if it can reclaim the $179.79–$201.24 resistance band. The most important levels to watch are $185.63–$186.71 on the upside and $145.09 on the downside.

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Frequently asked questions about Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

Does Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) 47/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Credo Technology Group has a real but not dominant moat built around high-speed connectivity for data centers, AI clusters, and server interconnects.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's moat score?
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) has a moat score of 47/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is CRDO stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating CRDO's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's (CRDO) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.