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ETSY$79.25

Etsy, Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 13, 2026about 2 hours ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

48/100

Executive Summary

Etsy has a real but limited competitive advantage built around a distinctive brand, a large two-sided marketplace, and buyer intent for handmade, vintage, and personalizable goods. Its scale creates some demand liquidity, but the network is not especially self-reinforcing because buyers and sellers can multi-home across Amazon, eBay, Shopify storefronts, and social-commerce channels with modest friction. Switching costs are also modest: sellers can recreate stores elsewhere, although they would lose some search ranking, reviews, and buyer familiarity. The moat is therefore narrower than a classic marketplace leader and appears under pressure from counterfeit concerns, seller fee backlash, and increasing competition in niche commerce. Etsy remains differentiated, but the durability of that advantage looks more fragile than in prior years.

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Last Updated
Aug 13, 2026about 2 hours ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

58/100

Executive Summary

ETSY’s standout strength is its durable cash generation: operating cash flow and free cash flow have remained consistently positive and broadly stable, supporting ongoing buybacks and reinvestment. That said, the broader financial picture is mixed. Income statement performance remains respectable, with gross margins near 70% and modest revenue growth, but top-line momentum has clearly slowed and operating leverage has been limited. The balance sheet is the main weakness, as negative equity, elevated debt, and a large retained earnings deficit point to meaningful leverage and long-term solvency pressure despite adequate near-term liquidity. Efficiency is stable and profitability has improved from prior losses, but recent margin trends have softened again. Overall, ETSY looks like a cash-rich business with decent operating economics, offset by a strained capital structure and only moderate growth, consistent with a mid-range overall profile.

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Frequently asked questions about Etsy, Inc.

Does Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) have an economic moat?
Yes, though a limited one. Etsy, Inc. earns a Narrow Moat rating with a moat score of 48/100, indicating competitive advantages expected to persist for roughly 10–20 years. Etsy has a real but limited competitive advantage built around a distinctive brand, a large two-sided marketplace, and buyer intent for handmade, vintage, and personalizable goods.
What is Etsy, Inc.'s moat score?
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) has a moat score of 48/100 with a Narrow Moat rating and a negative moat trend. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. Its strongest pillar is network effects (6/10).
Is ETSY stock overvalued or undervalued?
As of MoatScan's latest valuation, ETSY appears overvalued. The AI-estimated fair value is $64.33 versus a market price of $79.25 at the time of analysis, implying the stock traded about 19% above fair value. The estimate is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and updates with each new financial analysis.
What is Etsy, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan estimates Etsy, Inc.'s (ETSY) fair value at $64.33 per share, derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. See the Financial Analysis tab for the full assumptions behind the estimate.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.