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ETSY$79.25

Etsy, Inc.

Last Updated
Aug 13, 2026about 2 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

48/100

Executive Summary

Etsy has a real but limited competitive advantage built around a distinctive brand, a large two-sided marketplace, and buyer intent for handmade, vintage, and personalizable goods. Its scale creates some demand liquidity, but the network is not especially self-reinforcing because buyers and sellers can multi-home across Amazon, eBay, Shopify storefronts, and social-commerce channels with modest friction. Switching costs are also modest: sellers can recreate stores elsewhere, although they would lose some search ranking, reviews, and buyer familiarity. The moat is therefore narrower than a classic marketplace leader and appears under pressure from counterfeit concerns, seller fee backlash, and increasing competition in niche commerce. Etsy remains differentiated, but the durability of that advantage looks more fragile than in prior years.

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Last Updated
Aug 13, 2026about 2 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

58/100

Executive Summary

ETSY’s standout strength is its durable cash generation: operating cash flow and free cash flow have remained consistently positive and broadly stable, supporting ongoing buybacks and reinvestment. That said, the broader financial picture is mixed. Income statement performance remains respectable, with gross margins near 70% and modest revenue growth, but top-line momentum has clearly slowed and operating leverage has been limited. The balance sheet is the main weakness, as negative equity, elevated debt, and a large retained earnings deficit point to meaningful leverage and long-term solvency pressure despite adequate near-term liquidity. Efficiency is stable and profitability has improved from prior losses, but recent margin trends have softened again. Overall, ETSY looks like a cash-rich business with decent operating economics, offset by a strained capital structure and only moderate growth, consistent with a mid-range overall profile.

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Frequently asked questions about Etsy, Inc.

Does Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) 48/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Etsy has a real but limited competitive advantage built around a distinctive brand, a large two-sided marketplace, and buyer intent for handmade, vintage, and personalizable goods.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Etsy, Inc.'s moat score?
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) has a moat score of 48/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is ETSY stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating ETSY's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Etsy, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Etsy, Inc.'s (ETSY) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.