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KD$13.08

Kyndryl Holdings Inc.

Last Updated
Nov 2, 202610 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

40/100

Executive Summary

Kyndryl is best understood as a large but not dominant enterprise infrastructure outsourcer inherited from IBM. Its moat rests mainly on switching costs: many customers outsource mission-critical mainframe, network, security, and workplace operations, which creates operational friction and supports long relationships. The company’s global delivery footprint, deep legacy expertise, and recurring contract base are meaningful assets, especially in complex regulated environments. However, it lacks network effects, true proprietary IP, or a durable cost gap; global peers and hyperscalers can compete on price and breadth. Kyndryl’s portfolio optimization, cloud alliances, and advisory push may improve mix, but they do not transform the business into a wide-moat franchise. Overall, the company has a real but limited advantage that merits a Narrow Moat classification.

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Last Updated
Aug 13, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

55/100

Executive Summary

Kyndryl’s most notable strength is its improving operating profitability, as margin repair has turned operating income from losses into solid positive earnings despite only modest revenue stabilization. That said, the top line remains subdued, with revenue declining from FY2023 and then flattening, while TTM earnings softened and tax and other expense volatility still cloud reported profitability. Cash generation is healthier: operating cash flow has risen meaningfully and free cash flow is now positive, though TTM weakened and elevated capex plus working-capital drag limit consistency. The balance sheet is the clearest pressure point, with working capital now negative, liabilities high relative to assets, and leverage still elevated even as cash remains ample. Overall, Kyndryl presents an improving but uneven financial profile—better margins and cash flow are offset by weak growth, liquidity pressure, and a less comfortable capital structure, consistent with its mid-range ratings.

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Last Updated
Aug 13, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Technical Overview
$13.08Price at Analysis

KD’s technical profile is mixed in the near term but decisively weaker on the medium- and long-term horizon. Short-term momentum is not broken outright, as RSI remains in a constructive zone and price is holding near the 20-day MA, but the bearish MACD crossover limits upside conviction. Medium term, the stock is still under the weight of the 200-day MA and Death Cross territory, which keeps rallies suspect even while the 50-day MA offers some near-term support. The most relevant levels to watch are $13.01–$13.15, where weekly pivot confluence sits close to the current price, and $12.59/$12.32 on the downside versus $14.57 on the upside. Longer term, the monthly structure remains capped below the upper pivots and well under the 52-week high, preserving a cautious technical stance.

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Frequently asked questions about Kyndryl Holdings Inc.

Does Kyndryl Holdings Inc. (KD) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Kyndryl Holdings Inc. (KD) 40/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Kyndryl is best understood as a large but not dominant enterprise infrastructure outsourcer inherited from IBM.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Kyndryl Holdings Inc.'s moat score?
Kyndryl Holdings Inc. (KD) has a moat score of 40/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
How does KD's share price compare with its estimated fair value?
MoatScan AI estimates KD's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and shows how that estimate compares with the market price at the time of analysis. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis and is a research estimate, not a recommendation.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate and how it compares with the price.
What is Kyndryl Holdings Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Kyndryl Holdings Inc.'s (KD) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. MoatScan AI is an educational research tool. It is not licensed or registered with any financial regulator, and it holds no positions in, and receives no compensation from, any company analysed.