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APTV$68.05

Aptiv PLC

Last Updated
Jun 14, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

39/100

Executive Summary

Aptiv has a real but limited moat built on deep OEM integration, validation-heavy switching costs, and engineering credibility in electrical architecture and software-defined vehicles. Its global manufacturing footprint and presence in many top-selling models support incumbency, but the company lacks strong network effects, legally protected IP, or a durable cost structure that would insulate margins across cycles. Automotive suppliers face intense bidding, frequent rebids, and price-down pressure, and Aptiv remains exposed to cyclicality and platform mix shifts. The moat is therefore narrow rather than wide, and the trend is negative as competition in wiring, electronics, and ADAS intensifies while the industry migrates to more standardized architectures.

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Last Updated
Jun 14, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

62/100

Executive Summary

Aptiv’s most notable strength is its still-solid liquidity and ability to generate positive free cash flow despite a cyclical operating backdrop. Revenue expanded from FY2021 to FY2025 and gross margins improved, but operating margin compressed and earnings quality was distorted by one-off tax and non-operating gains, indicating weaker underlying profitability. The balance sheet remains functional, with current assets comfortably covering current liabilities, yet leverage has risen and goodwill/intangibles limit asset quality. Cash flow has stayed positive, though working-capital swings and softer TTM generation add volatility. Overall, Aptiv presents a middling but resilient profile: adequate near-term coverage, moderate growth, and acceptable cash production, offset by margin pressure, higher leverage, and uneven return metrics, consistent with its mid-range ratings.

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Last Updated
Jun 14, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$68.05Price at Analysis

The most probable near-term move is a modest rebound or consolidation above the $67.75–$68.46 zone, with $69.17 and then $71.29 acting as the first upside checkpoints. The key downside risk is a loss of $66.82, which would expose $64.09 and raise the odds of a deeper retest toward the monthly $62.60 pivot.

Technical Overview

APTV presents a mixed technical profile: the short-term trend is still constructive, but the intermediate and long-term pictures remain weighed down by the recent Death Cross and the stock’s position below the 200-day MA. Momentum indicators are not broken, yet the strong daily rebound risk is tempered by contracting volume and an RSI that is approaching overbought territory. The most important levels to watch are $67.75 and $66.82 on the downside, where near-term support begins to cluster, and $69.17 to $71.29 on the upside, where resistance will determine whether the bounce can extend into a broader recovery. The monthly $62.60 pivot remains the key structural reference.

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Frequently asked questions about Aptiv PLC

Does Aptiv PLC (APTV) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Aptiv PLC (APTV) 39/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Aptiv has a real but limited moat built on deep OEM integration, validation-heavy switching costs, and engineering credibility in electrical architecture and software-defined vehicles.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Aptiv PLC's moat score?
Aptiv PLC (APTV) has a moat score of 39/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is APTV stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating APTV's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Aptiv PLC's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Aptiv PLC's (APTV) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.