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DG$102.90

Dollar General Corporation

Last Updated
Jun 5, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

51/100

Executive Summary

Dollar General has a real but limited moat built on dense rural coverage, convenient locations, and scale purchasing in under-served trade areas. The model works best where customers value proximity over assortment, giving the chain localized pricing and logistics advantages. However, the business lacks meaningful network effects, has low switching costs, and faces persistent execution and reputation problems tied to shrink, labor, pricing, and safety. Its brand is well known but not premium, and competition from Walmart, Dollar Tree, Family Dollar, and grocers keeps pressure on margins. The moat is narrower than the score suggests because the advantages are concentrated in specific geographies rather than broadly defensible across retail.

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Last Updated
Jun 5, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

64/100

Executive Summary

Dollar General’s standout strength is its solid cash generation, which improved in FY2025 as operating cash flow and free cash flow rose while capital spending eased, supporting debt reduction and a steady dividend. Revenue has grown consistently, but profitability has been more uneven: gross margin is stable, yet operating margin and returns remain below earlier peaks due to SG&A pressure. The balance sheet is stable and modestly stronger, with cash, equity, and liquidity improving, though leverage and lease obligations remain material and the quick ratio stays thin. Forward growth appears moderate, with only limited margin expansion expected. Overall, DG presents a resilient, mid-tier profile: cash-rich and improving, but not without earnings and leverage constraints.

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Frequently asked questions about Dollar General Corporation

Does Dollar General Corporation (DG) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Dollar General Corporation (DG) 51/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Dollar General has a real but limited moat built on dense rural coverage, convenient locations, and scale purchasing in under-served trade areas.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Dollar General Corporation's moat score?
Dollar General Corporation (DG) has a moat score of 51/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is DG stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating DG's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Dollar General Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Dollar General Corporation's (DG) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.