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ON$82.66

ON Semiconductor Corporation

Last Updated
Aug 17, 202625 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

52/100

Executive Summary

Onsemi has a narrow moat built on customer qualification friction, engineering know-how, and a growing footprint in automotive power and sensing, especially silicon carbide. Its products sit inside long design cycles for EVs, industrial systems, and advanced driver-assistance hardware, so once a socket is won, it can stay in place for years. The company also benefits from manufacturing scale, vertical integration, and a broad catalog that helps cross-sell adjacent parts. But the advantage is limited: customers can dual-source, many rivals are credible, and the industry is still highly competitive and cyclical. The moat looks more resilient than a generic semiconductor supplier’s, yet not broad enough to be called wide. Recent SiC investments and portfolio tightening support a constructive trend.

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Last Updated
Aug 17, 202625 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

58/100

Executive Summary

ON Semiconductor’s strongest feature is its solid liquidity and balance-sheet resilience, with current assets comfortably covering current liabilities, ample cash and short-term investments, and manageable solvency despite a recent uptick in debt. That financial cushion has helped the company sustain positive operating and free cash flow through a cyclical downturn, while lower capital spending supported FCF recovery. However, the income statement and key ratios show clear strain: revenue has softened, gross and operating margins have compressed materially, asset turnover has weakened, and profitability has been distorted by large below-the-line costs and a sharp earnings decline. Forecasts and recent TTM data suggest stabilization, with revenue and earnings expected to improve, but the recovery is still incomplete. Overall, ON Semiconductor presents a financially sound but cyclical profile—stronger on liquidity and cash generation than on earnings quality, consistent with its midrange ratings.

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Last Updated
Aug 17, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Price Outlook
$82.66Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance is modestly higher in the near term, with a likely retest of $83.37 and then $84.65 if the current pivot holds. The main downside risk is a slip back through $81.79 and $80.51, which would signal that the rebound has stalled and could send price back toward the weekly support zone at $77.09–$75.01.

Technical Overview

ON presents a technically mixed but stable profile. Short-term momentum has improved, as shown by bullish MACD, yet that strength is offset by a position just below the 20-day average, neutral RSI, and lighter volume, which limits confidence in an immediate breakout. Medium-term conditions are more constructive than the price action suggests because ON remains above the 200-day MA and in Golden Cross territory, even though it is still well under the 50-day MA. Long term, the stock sits in the middle of its 52-week range and has not yet re-established a directional trend, leaving the chart in a consolidation phase rather than a decisive advance or breakdown. The key levels to monitor are $83.37–$84.65 on the upside and $81.79–$80.51 on the downside, with $85.88 and $78.58 becoming more important if the move extends.

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Frequently asked questions about ON Semiconductor Corporation

Does ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) 52/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Onsemi has a narrow moat built on customer qualification friction, engineering know-how, and a growing footprint in automotive power and sensing, especially silicon carbide.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is ON Semiconductor Corporation's moat score?
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) has a moat score of 52/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is ON stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating ON's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is ON Semiconductor Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives ON Semiconductor Corporation's (ON) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.