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ON$90.02

ON Semiconductor Corporation

Last Updated
Jul 21, 20267 days ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

51/100

Executive Summary

onsemi has a real but limited competitive advantage built around automotive, industrial, and power semiconductor design wins rather than broad platform dominance. Its strongest positions are in power management, silicon carbide, and image/sensing components, where qualification cycles and system-level integration create meaningful inertia once it is designed into a customer platform. The company also benefits from selective vertical integration and a larger manufacturing footprint than many fabless peers. However, the business lacks the kind of dominant brand, network effects, or natural-monopoly structure that would support a wide moat. Competition from large analog, power, and specialty semiconductor rivals remains intense, and pricing power is uneven across end markets. Overall, the moat is durable enough to matter, but not broad enough to be classified as wide.

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Last Updated
Jul 21, 20267 days ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

60/100

Executive Summary

ON Semiconductor’s most notable strength is its solid liquidity and balance-sheet flexibility, with current assets comfortably exceeding current liabilities and cash plus short-term investments still ample despite some decline. However, this resilience contrasts with a pronounced cyclical deterioration in operating performance: revenue has fallen from its 2022–2023 peak, gross and operating margins have compressed sharply, and net income has weakened materially even as free cash flow has remained positive. Cash generation is still respectable, but it has become less stable, reflecting working-capital swings and aggressive capital returns through buybacks. Efficiency and return metrics have also softened, while leverage remains manageable though somewhat more volatile in stressed periods. Growth expectations point to a gradual recovery rather than a rapid rebound. Overall, ON Semiconductor presents a mixed profile: financially sound on liquidity and cash access, but pressured on profitability and earnings quality, consistent with its mid-range ratings.

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Last Updated
Jul 21, 2026
Short Term
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Medium Term
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Long Term
Price Outlook
$90.38Price at Analysis

The path of least resistance looks modestly higher in the near term, with $91.34 and then $93.37 as the first resistance levels to reclaim. That said, the key downside risk is a loss of $88.93, which would expose $88.18 and then the weekly support area around $84.1 if selling pressure persists.

Technical Overview

ON’s technical profile is mixed in the near term but still constructive on the larger chart. Short-term momentum has softened, with the stock below its 20-day average and MACD negative, yet the trend framework is not fully damaged because price remains above the 200-day moving average and in Golden Cross territory. Medium-term signals are the most conflicted, as the sharp distance from the 50-day average contrasts with the healthier long-run trend. The most important levels to watch are $88.93 and $91.34 in the short term, followed by the weekly $84.1 support and $93.37 resistance band, which should help define whether the pullback stabilizes or extends.

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Frequently asked questions about ON Semiconductor Corporation

Does ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) have an economic moat?
Yes, though a limited one. ON Semiconductor Corporation earns a Narrow Moat rating with a moat score of 51/100, indicating competitive advantages expected to persist for roughly 10–20 years. onsemi has a real but limited competitive advantage built around automotive, industrial, and power semiconductor design wins rather than broad platform dominance.
What is ON Semiconductor Corporation's moat score?
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) has a moat score of 51/100 with a Narrow Moat rating and a stable moat trend. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. Its strongest pillar is switching costs (6.5/10).
Is ON stock overvalued or undervalued?
As of MoatScan's latest valuation, ON appears overvalued. The AI-estimated fair value is $29.47 versus a market price of $90.02 at the time of analysis, implying the stock traded about 67% above fair value. The estimate is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and updates with each new financial analysis.
What is ON Semiconductor Corporation's fair value estimate?
MoatScan estimates ON Semiconductor Corporation's (ON) fair value at $29.47 per share, derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. See the Financial Analysis tab for the full assumptions behind the estimate.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.