TEM$80.36
Tempus AI, Inc.
Moat Score
60/100
Tempus AI has built a meaningful but still developing competitive advantage in precision medicine. Its core strength is the integration of large-scale clinical and molecular data with diagnostic testing, AI applications, and data licensing, all reinforced by deep relationships across hospitals, academic centers, oncologists, and pharmaceutical partners. That creates real customer stickiness and a growing feedback loop as more usage improves the platform. The company also benefits from validated assays, workflow embedding, and a data asset that would be hard to recreate quickly. Still, Tempus faces serious competition from Roche, Guardant, IQVIA, Flatiron, Caris, and emerging AI-native entrants, which limits the breadth of its pricing power and market control. The result is a narrow moat with improving fundamentals rather than a fully entrenched franchise.
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Financial Score
48/100
TEM’s most notable strength is its rapid top-line expansion, with revenue rising from $258M in FY2021 to $1.27B in FY2025 and expected to reach $1.60B in FY 2026, while gross margin improved to 63.98% TTM. However, that growth has not yet translated into durable earnings or cash generation: operating income remains -$273M TTM, operating cash flow has stayed negative every year, and free cash flow remains weak despite modest CapEx. The balance sheet provides near-term comfort, with current assets of $1.29B against $391M of current liabilities, but leverage has increased, total debt has climbed to $1.44B, and goodwill and intangibles exceed $802M. Overall, TEM combines strong growth and adequate liquidity with persistent losses, weak cash conversion, and rising leverage, leaving its financial profile promising but still fragile across the 4/10, 6/10, 2.5/10, 4/10, and 7.5/10 ratings.
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The path of least resistance is still higher in the near term, with $81.4 the most immediate upside checkpoint and $83.44 the next resistance to clear if momentum persists. The key downside risk is a snapback toward $74.89, with a deeper pause toward $71.63 if the recent surge fades and volume normalizes.
TEM’s technical profile is broadly constructive across all horizons, led by an explosive short-term breakout and a newly reinforced trend structure. Near-term momentum is strong enough to keep price pressing higher, but the trade is extended, with RSI approaching overbought territory and Bollinger positioning near the upper band signaling the need for digestion. Medium and long term, the stock remains comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the recent Golden Cross supports a favorable trend regime. The most important levels to watch are $81.4 and $83.44 on the upside, where the market may decide whether to extend the breakout, and $74.89/$71.63 on the downside, where a pullback would first test trend quality.
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Frequently asked questions about Tempus AI, Inc.
- Does Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) have an economic moat?
- MoatScan AI rates Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) 60/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Tempus AI has built a meaningful but still developing competitive advantage in precision medicine.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
- What is Tempus AI, Inc.'s moat score?
- Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) has a moat score of 60/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.