TOST$29.32
Toast, Inc.
Moat Score
66/100
Toast has built a credible narrow moat around a vertically integrated restaurant operating system that combines POS software, payments, hardware, and a growing app ecosystem. The strongest advantage is switching costs: once a restaurant is embedded in Toast’s workflows, data, staff training, and payment stack, replacing it is disruptive and expensive. Network effects and brand reinforce adoption in local clusters, while scale is improving unit economics and broadening the product suite. The moat is not wide because competition remains intense and the market is not a natural monopoly; large rivals can still compete on price, distribution, or bundled offerings. Even so, Toast’s ecosystem is strengthening, and its moat trend is positive as penetration and module adoption increase.
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Financial Score
77/100
Toast’s most notable strength is its combination of rapid revenue scaling and an increasingly resilient balance sheet. Revenue rose from $1.7B in FY2021 to $6.2B in FY2025, while margins improved materially as gross margin expanded and operating income turned positive, supported by strong free cash flow conversion. Liquidity is ample, debt is negligible, and equity has grown steadily, although retained earnings remain negative and rising accrued liabilities merit monitoring. Cash generation has strengthened sharply, yet quality is tempered by stock-based compensation and earlier gaps between earnings and cash flow. Key ratios confirm improving efficiency and profitability, while growth has clearly decelerated from hypergrowth to a still-solid mid-20% pace. Overall, Toast presents a constructive but maturing financial profile: fundamentally healthy, increasingly profitable, and conservatively financed, with the main tension being slower growth versus continued operating leverage, consistent with its 7.5/10 to 8.5/10 ratings.
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Frequently asked questions about Toast, Inc.
- Does Toast, Inc. (TOST) have an economic moat?
- Yes, though a limited one. Toast, Inc. earns a Narrow Moat rating with a moat score of 66/100, indicating competitive advantages expected to persist for roughly 10–20 years. Toast has built a credible narrow moat around a vertically integrated restaurant operating system that combines POS software, payments, hardware, and a growing app ecosystem.
- What is Toast, Inc.'s moat score?
- Toast, Inc. (TOST) has a moat score of 66/100 with a Narrow Moat rating and a positive moat trend. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. Its strongest pillar is switching costs (8/10).
- Is TOST stock overvalued or undervalued?
- As of MoatScan's latest valuation, TOST appears undervalued. The AI-estimated fair value is $35.51 versus a market price of $29.32 at the time of analysis, implying roughly 21% upside to fair value. The estimate is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model and updates with each new financial analysis.
- What is Toast, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
- MoatScan estimates Toast, Inc.'s (TOST) fair value at $35.51 per share, derived from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. See the Financial Analysis tab for the full assumptions behind the estimate.
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Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.