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TOST$29.32

Toast, Inc.

Last Updated
Jul 1, 20263 months ago
Moat & Trend
Management
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Competitive Radar

Moat Score

66/100

Executive Summary

Toast has built a credible narrow moat around a vertically integrated restaurant operating system that combines POS software, payments, hardware, and a growing app ecosystem. The strongest advantage is switching costs: once a restaurant is embedded in Toast’s workflows, data, staff training, and payment stack, replacing it is disruptive and expensive. Network effects and brand reinforce adoption in local clusters, while scale is improving unit economics and broadening the product suite. The moat is not wide because competition remains intense and the market is not a natural monopoly; large rivals can still compete on price, distribution, or bundled offerings. Even so, Toast’s ecosystem is strengthening, and its moat trend is positive as penetration and module adoption increase.

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Last Updated
Jul 12, 20263 months ago
Target Price
Analyst Consensus
FAIR VALUE
Financial Strength

Financial Score

77/100

Executive Summary

Toast’s most notable strength is its combination of rapid revenue scaling and an increasingly resilient balance sheet. Revenue rose from $1.7B in FY2021 to $6.2B in FY2025, while margins improved materially as gross margin expanded and operating income turned positive, supported by strong free cash flow conversion. Liquidity is ample, debt is negligible, and equity has grown steadily, although retained earnings remain negative and rising accrued liabilities merit monitoring. Cash generation has strengthened sharply, yet quality is tempered by stock-based compensation and earlier gaps between earnings and cash flow. Key ratios confirm improving efficiency and profitability, while growth has clearly decelerated from hypergrowth to a still-solid mid-20% pace. Overall, Toast presents a constructive but maturing financial profile: fundamentally healthy, increasingly profitable, and conservatively financed, with the main tension being slower growth versus continued operating leverage, consistent with its 7.5/10 to 8.5/10 ratings.

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Frequently asked questions about Toast, Inc.

Does Toast, Inc. (TOST) have an economic moat?
MoatScan AI rates Toast, Inc. (TOST) 66/100 for moat strength, assessed across five sources of competitive advantage: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages and efficient scale. Toast has built a credible narrow moat around a vertically integrated restaurant operating system that combines POS software, payments, hardware, and a growing app ecosystem.Sign in free to see the Moat Type verdict and the pillar-by-pillar reasoning.
What is Toast, Inc.'s moat score?
Toast, Inc. (TOST) has a moat score of 66/100. The score is a weighted average of five pillar ratings: network effects, switching costs, intangible assets, cost advantages, and efficient scale. A higher score means the competitive advantages MoatScan AI identifies are wider and more durable.Sign in free to see each pillar rating, the Moat Type verdict and the moat trend.
Is TOST stock overvalued or undervalued?
MoatScan AI answers this by estimating TOST's intrinsic value with a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then comparing that estimate to the current market price. A share price meaningfully below the estimate is flagged undervalued; meaningfully above it, overvalued. The estimate updates with each new financial analysis.Sign in free to see the fair value estimate, the implied upside or downside, and the verdict.
What is Toast, Inc.'s fair value estimate?
MoatScan AI derives Toast, Inc.'s (TOST) fair value per share from a discounted cash flow (DCF) model built on the company's reported financials, analyst growth forecasts, and a discount rate reflecting its cost of capital. The Financial Analysis tab shows the estimate alongside every assumption behind it.Sign in free to see the estimate and the full assumptions behind it.

Disclaimer: The analysis on this page is generated by AI and is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.